Challenger Pro LeagueMatchday 8
Royal Francs Borains vs Dender: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%O2.550%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Royal Francs Borains0:3DenderL
- Dender2:0Royal Francs BorainsL
Royal Francs Borains's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.7league 9.6under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model0.7 : 1.6total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.7
Royal Francs Borains : DenderMost likely scores
Model0-116%1-111%0-212%1-29%0-09%1-0—2-1—Attack/defence0-110%1-113%0-27%1-29%0-0—1-08%2-17%
ModelAttack/defence0-10-116%0-110%1-11-111%1-113%0-20-212%0-27%1-21-29%1-29%0-00-09%0-0—1-01-0—1-08%2-12-1—2-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 82%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%74% | 74% |
| 2 – Dender win | 59%43% · Elo 58% | 43%· Elo 58% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 41%57% | 57% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 22% | 26%· Elo 22% |
| 1 – Royal Francs Borains win | 18%31% · Elo 20% | 31%· Elo 20% |
Attack vs defence
Royal Francs Borains attack vs Dender defenceattack1441defence1584−143 pts to the attack
Dender attack vs Royal Francs Borains defenceattack1531defence1485+46 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Streaks before the match
- Dender6 wins in a rowaway: 2Went on 54%League 39%Model 59%Record 13
- Dender4 clean sheets in a rowaway: 1Went on 35%League 22%Record 9
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Dender: 6 wins in a row
- Royal Francs Borains: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Dender: newly promoted
- Royal Francs Borains: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Dender: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dender | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 4 | Royal Francs Borains | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Royal Francs Borains vs Dender?
Dender are the favourites. Chances: Royal Francs Borains win 18%, draw 23%, Dender win 59%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Royal Francs Borains vs Dender?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Royal Francs Borains 0.7, Dender 1.6). Most likely score: 0-1.
When is Royal Francs Borains vs Dender?
The Challenger Pro League match kicks off 23 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).