Ligue 1

France · 54 of 307 played

Stats

Data up to date

Upcoming matches

Friday16/10

1 match

19:45

1.3Le Mans 1689promoted

1.4Toulouse 1796S

1X2Elo

132%31%X27%28%242%42%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:30:20:21:21:1Mostly Toulouse: 4 of 5last met in 20102.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.5league 9.6under 9.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS59%55%O2.556%51%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%red 21%

Tip in 2d 12h

Saturday17/10

3 matches

16:15

1.3Strasbourg 1841concede 2.0/game8/10 over 2.5

1.8Paris SG 2184

1X2Elo

115%13%X17%19%268%68%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:23:32:12:41:2Mostly Paris SG: 3 of 54.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.3league 9.6under 9.5: 55%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS65%60%O2.573%59%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 56%red 21%

Tip in 3d 12h

19:45

1.7Lille 18972/10 over 2.5

1.0Brest 17732.4 cards/game

1X2Elo

153%56%X24%24%223%20%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:13:30:23:11:13 draws in 5 meetings3.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 52%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS57%53%O2.556%50%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 55%red 21%

Tip in 3d 12h

19:45

1.2Troyes 16564 defeats in a rowpromoted

1.7Lens 192512.4 corners/game

1X2Elo

124%17%X24%23%252%60%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:10:11:30:41:1Mostly Lens: 3 of 5last met in 20232.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS61%56%O2.561%55%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 55%red 21%

Tip in 3d 12h

Sunday18/10

5 matches

14:00

1.2Angers 1696

1.6Marseille 1838S

1X2Elo

129%27%X26%27%245%46%

H2Hhome side's goals first

2:52:20:21:11:3Mostly Marseille: 3 of 53.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS62%55%O2.560%51%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 51%red 21%

Tip in 4d 11h

16:15

1.4Le Havre 1693

1.1Auxerre 1746concede 2.1/game8/10 over 2.511.7 corners/game

1X2Elo

140%36%X28%28%232%36%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:11:02:13:11:2Mostly Le Havre: 3 of 52.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.0league 9.6over 9.5: 54%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS55%51%O2.550%46%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 52%red 21%

Tip in 4d 12h

16:15

1.3Lorient 1773

1.4Monaco 1925

1X2Elo

127%27%X27%27%246%47%

H2Hhome side's goals first

3:13:12:22:21:3Mostly Lorient: 2 of 54.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.5league 9.6under 9.5: 52%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS53%55%O2.549%51%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 54%red 21%

Tip in 4d 12h

16:15

1.5Paris FC 1799

1.4Rennes 1885S9/10 over 2.512.9 corners/game

1X2Elo

143%33%X26%28%230%39%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:20:1Rennes won all 2too few to read anything into2.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS61%58%O2.558%54%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.7league 3.6under 3.5: 50%red 21%

Tip in 4d 12h

19:45

1.7Lyon 191212.8 corners/game

1.1Nice 17212.1 cards/gamescore after 75' 8/19

1X2Elo

157%63%X23%21%220%16%

H2Hhome side's goals first

2:02:32:04:11:0Mostly Lyon: 4 of 53.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.1league 9.6over 9.5: 55%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS57%54%O2.558%52%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 55%red 21%

Tip in 4d 12h

Latest results

Sunday11/10

3 matches

19:45

0Troyes 1656

2Marseille 1838

Our tip:Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5 68% Lost

Match details

16:15

4Rennes 1885

1Auxerre 1746

Our tip:Corners: Over 9.5 58% Won

Match details

14:00

2Nice 1721

1Strasbourg 1841

Our tip:Cards – Strasbourg (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5 68% Won

Match details

Saturday10/10

5 matches

19:45

3Paris SG 2184

1Le Mans 1689

Our tip:Total Goals: Over 3.5 57% Won

Match details

19:45

2Monaco 1925

2Toulouse 1796

Our tip:Yellow Cards: Under 3.5 61% Lost

Match details

19:45

1Lorient 1773

0Paris FC 1799

Our tip:Corners: Under 9.5 55% Lost

Match details

19:45

5Brest 1773

1Angers 1696

Our tip:Yellow Cards: Under 3.5 63% Won

Match details

16:15

1Lille 1897

0Le Havre 1693

Our tip:Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5 55% Lost

Match details

Friday09/10

1 match

19:45

2Lens 1925

1Lyon 1912

Our tip:Corners: Over 9.5 61% Won

Match details

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form	Exp. pts	Exp. pos	Champions League	Champions League Qualification	Conference League Qualification	Relegation	Relegation Playoffs	UEFA Europa League
1	Monaco	6	4	2	0	10:5	+5	14	WWDWD	61.5	3.8	54%	16%	7%	—	—	12%
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	9:4	+5	13	DWWLW	58.1	4.8	34%	17%	12%	—	—	15%
3	Rennes	6	4	1	1	12:10	+2	13	WWWLW	59.6	4.3	43%	17%	10%	—	—	13%
4	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11	DWDWL	58.5	4.5	37%	18%	12%	—	<1%	16%
5	Paris FC	6	3	2	1	8:4	+4	11	WWDWL	53.6	6.3	13%	12%	16%	<1%	<1%	15%
6	Paris SG	6	3	2	1	11:8	+3	11	DLWWW	78.2	1.1	>99%	<1%	<1%	—	—	<1%
7	Brest	6	2	2	2	12:9	+3	8	DWLLW	41.2	11.4	1%	1%	2%	4%	5%	1%
8	Lorient	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8	LWDLW	39.6	12.2	<1%	<1%	1%	7%	7%	1%
9	Nice	6	2	2	2	5:7	-2	8	LDLWW	42.8	10.8	<1%	1%	3%	3%	4%	2%
10	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	+1	7	LLDLW	52.3	6.7	11%	10%	15%	<1%	<1%	13%
11	Strasbourg	6	2	1	3	11:12	-1	7	WWDLL	42.6	10.9	1%	1%	3%	3%	4%	2%
12	Angers	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7	WLDWL	34.4	14.5	<1%	<1%	<1%	26%	15%	<1%
13	Marseille	6	2	0	4	9:8	+1	6	LLLLW	49.7	7.8	5%	6%	13%	<1%	<1%	9%
14	Le Mans	6	1	3	2	10:12	-2	6	LDDWL	34.4	14.4	<1%	<1%	<1%	27%	14%	<1%
15	Toulouse	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6	DLDWD	41.9	11.2	<1%	1%	3%	4%	4%	1%
16	Auxerre	6	2	0	4	8:16	-8	6	LLWWL	34.1	14.7	—	<1%	<1%	29%	16%	<1%
17	Troyes	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4	WLLLL	31.9	15.5	<1%	<1%	<1%	41%	17%	<1%
18	Le Havre	6	0	2	4	4:8	-4	2	DLDLL	29.4	16.2	—	—	<1%	56%	15%	<1%

Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Final table forecast: 10,000 simulations, as of 11 October 2026

#	Team	Elo	30-day change	Exp. goals for	Exp. goals against
1	Paris SG	1,620	+21.3	1.91	0.95
2	Lille	1,573	−2.6	1.28	0.97
3	Monaco	1,571	+4.5	1.56	1.23
4	Rennes	1,554	−2.3	1.48	1.35
5	Lyon	1,553	−0.5	1.45	1.14
6	Lens	1,545	−1.0	1.44	1.09
7	Strasbourg	1,518	−20.3	1.43	1.32
8	Marseille	1,517	−0.7	1.55	1.23
9	Paris FC	1,500	−0.4	1.21	1.16
10	Toulouse	1,490	+13.0	1.21	1.27
11	Brest	1,479	−9.8	1.28	1.41
12	Nice	1,477	+13.1	1.12	1.27
13	Lorient	1,474	−2.4	1.17	1.31
14	Auxerre	1,458	+11.7	1.08	1.37
15	Angers	1,445	+1.1	0.86	1.36
16	Le Havre	1,431	−14.1	0.92	1.33
17	Le Mans	1,409	+9.2	1.35	1.48
18	Troyes	1,387	−19.8	0.91	1.70

glm-dc model, as of 11 October 2026

Attack and defence of the teams

↑ Defence

Hover or tap a dot to see the team.

1500 = league average. +100 attack points = 1.2x the goals scored, +100 defence points = 1.2x fewer conceded (against the same opponent). Ratings adjust for the strength of opponents and update after every match. Goals are blended 50/50 with xG where xG exists. as of 11 October 2026.

Who is picking up speed

Change of the attack and defence ratings over the last 30 days, in points. A description of recent matches, not a forecast.

Up

Paris SGattack +9 · defence +9+18
Brestattack +8 · defence +9+17
Lyonattack +1 · defence +15+16

Down

Strasbourgattack −14 · defence −6−20
Angersattack −8 · defence −11−19
Marseilleattack −5 · defence −5−10

Results vs strength

Points from the last 10 league matches against the points we would expect from the team strength before each match.

Team	Pts	Exp.	Diff
Paris FC	17	12.1	+4.9
Rennes	19	15.2	+3.8
Monaco	18	14.4	+3.6
Lille	20	16.6	+3.4
Auxerre	15	12.4	+2.6
Lyon	17	15.0	+2.0
Toulouse	14	13.5	+0.5
Le Mans	10	9.6	+0.4
Strasbourg	14	13.7	+0.3
Paris SG	18	18.7	−0.7
Lorient	12	13.0	−1.0
Nice	13	14.8	−1.8
Angers	9	10.8	−1.8
Lens	14	16.3	−2.3
Marseille	13	16.1	−3.1
Brest	9	13.0	−4.0
Troyes	6	10.2	−4.2
Le Havre	7	11.5	−4.5

This table compares the points of the last 10 league matches with the points expected from the team strength before each match. Results above (or below) the strength usually do not last: over the next matches the excess almost disappears, and the rating already holds whatever part of it is real.

Ligue 1

Ligue 1: Matches

Upcoming matches

Friday16/10

Saturday17/10

Sunday18/10

Latest results

Sunday11/10

Saturday10/10

Friday09/10

Ligue 1: Table

Ligue 1: Fixtures

Ligue 1: Results

Ligue 1: Team strength

Attack and defence of the teams

Who is picking up speed

Up

Down

Results vs strength

Ligue 1: Season profile

Biggest upsets of the season