Championship

England · 114 of 554 played

Stats

Data up to date

Upcoming matches

Tomorrow · Wednesday14/10

4 matches

19:45

1.6Norwich 1597Sconcede 2.1/game9/10 over 2.59 pts, exp. 15

1.5Southampton 17225.2 cards/game3 days' rest

1X2Elo

139%28%X25%27%236%44%

H2Hhome side's goals first

0:12:11:14:40:2Mostly Southampton: 2 of 53.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.1league 10.4under 10.5: 57%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS66%62%O2.564%59%

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3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 55%red 10%

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19:45

1.4Portsmouth 15223 days' rest

1.2Sheffield United 1596

1X2Elo

143%33%X27%28%230%39%

H2Hhome side's goals first

0:10:31:20:03:0Mostly Sheffield United: 3 of 52.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS54%54%O2.549%49%

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19:45

1.5QPR 1549S

1.2Derby 15536 pts, exp. 12

1X2Elo

157%41%X24%28%219%31%

H2Hhome side's goals first

2:30:14:00:21:0Mostly Derby: 3 of 52.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS53%54%O2.553%50%

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3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%red 10%

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20:00

1.4Lincoln 1525promoted

1.3West Ham 1906promoted

1X2Elo

120%11%X23%17%257%72%

H2Hhome side's goals first

never met

Cornersleague corners

10.7league 10.4over 10.5: 50%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS57%56%O2.558%51%

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Friday16/10

1 match

20:00

1.5Burnley 1710promoted3 days' rest

1.3Wolves 1812promoted3 days' rest

1X2Elo

132%31%X27%28%241%42%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:13:21:10:11:0Mostly Burnley: 2 of 52.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS58%57%O2.554%53%

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3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%red 10%

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Saturday17/10

11 matches

12:30

1.8Middlesbrough 16718 unbeaten

1.1Cardiff 14797 pts, exp. 13promoted

1X2Elo

164%63%X19%21%217%16%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:12:04:12:03:1Mostly Middlesbrough: 4 of 53.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.7league 10.4under 10.5: 50%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS63%56%O2.569%55%

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12:30

1.5Millwall 1622

1.1Lincoln 1525promoted3 days' rest

1X2Elo

150%52%X26%25%224%22%

H2Hhome side's goals first

never met

Cornersleague corners

10.7league 10.4under 10.5: 50%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS53%51%O2.550%47%

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12:30

1.4Watford 14854 defeats in a row

1.1Charlton 14867 without a win

1X2Elo

145%41%X27%28%228%31%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:10:15:00:11:3Mostly Charlton: 3 of 52.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 54%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS53%49%O2.548%44%

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15:00

1.5Birmingham 1599

1.1QPR 15493 days' rest

1X2Elo

149%47%X26%27%224%26%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:01:21:20:01:0Level: 2–2, 1 draw1.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS53%53%O2.550%49%

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15:00

1.4Bristol City 1556

1.2Sheffield United 15963 days' rest

1X2Elo

145%37%X27%28%228%35%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:04:10:30:31:1Level: 2–2, 1 draw2.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS55%54%O2.550%49%

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15:00

1.5Derby 15536 pts, exp. 123 days' rest

1.1Stoke 15328/10 over 2.5

1X2Elo

137%44%X28%27%235%29%

H2Hhome side's goals first

2:01:30:01:22:1Level: 2–2, 1 draw2.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS53%52%O2.547%48%

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4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 55%red 10%

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15:00

1.7Norwich 1597concede 2.1/game9/10 over 2.59 pts, exp. 153 days' rest

1.2Portsmouth 15223 days' rest

1X2Elo

158%50%X23%26%219%24%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:12:13:50:01:0Mostly Norwich: 2 of 52.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS58%56%O2.559%54%

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15:00

1.9Southampton 17225.2 cards/game3 days' rest

1.2Bolton 1442promoted

1X2Elo

168%72%X18%17%214%11%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:11:21:20:00:03 draws in 5 meetingslast met in 20051.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS58%59%O2.567%59%

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15:00

1.5Swansea 16264 wins in a row20 pts, exp. 13

1.3West Ham 1906promoted3 days' rest

1X2Elo

133%16%X25%22%241%62%

H2Hhome side's goals first

4:10:10:11:44:1Mostly West Ham: 3 of 5last met in 20183.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 55%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS61%55%O2.558%51%

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15:00

1.4West Brom 1565

0.9Blackburn 15448/10 over 2.5

1X2Elo

151%44%X27%27%222%29%

H2Hhome side's goals first

0:01:00:20:04:1Mostly West Brom: 2 of 51.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.8league 10.4over 10.5: 52%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS49%46%O2.545%40%

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15:00

1.7Wrexham 1579

1.0Preston 14744 pts, exp. 12

1X2Elo

156%53%X24%25%220%22%

H2Hhome side's goals first

2:11:1Mostly Wrexham: 1 of 2too few to read anything into2.5 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS53%53%O2.553%51%

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3.7league 3.8under 3.5: 50%red 10%

Tip in 3d 12h

Latest results

Today · Tuesday13/10

8 matches

20:00

2Stoke 1532

3Middlesbrough 1671

Our tip:Both Teams To Score: Yes 58% Won

Match details

20:00ended

Birmingham 1599

Preston 1474

Our tip:Total Goals: Over 2.5 56%

Match details

19:45

1Wrexham 1579

2West Brom 1565

Our tip:Fouls – Wrexham: Over 9.5 61% Won

Match details

19:45

1Wolves 1812

3Bolton 1442

Our tip:Total Goals: Over 2.5 61% Won

Match details

19:45

0Millwall 1622

1Swansea 1626

Our tip:Offsides – Millwall: Over 2.5 71% Won

Match details

19:45

5Cardiff 1479

1Watford 1485

Our tip:Total Goals: Over 2.5 65% Won

Match details

19:45

2Burnley 1710

2Charlton 1486

Our tip:Offsides: Over 3.5 61% Lost

Match details

19:45

0Bristol City 1556

1Blackburn 1544

Our tip:Shots on Target: Under 8.5 64% Won

Match details

Sunday11/10

1 match

12:00

1Southampton 1722

0Portsmouth 1522

Our tip:Match Result: Southampton 62% Won

Match details

Saturday10/10

10 matches

15:00

0Watford 1485

4Burnley 1710

Our tip:Both Teams To Score: Yes 59% Lost

Match details

15:00

3Sheffield United 1596

0Lincoln 1525

Our tip:Fouls – Lincoln: Over 11.5 59% Won

Match details

15:00

0Preston 1474

1Millwall 1622

Our tip:Cards – Preston (yellow=1, red=2): Over 1.5 59% Lost

Match details

15:00

1Middlesbrough 1671

0Wolves 1812

Our tip:Both Teams To Score: Yes 62% Lost

Match details

15:00

1Derby 1553

1Wrexham 1579

Our tip:Yellow Cards: Over 3.5 55% Won

Match details

15:00

1Bolton 1442

2Stoke 1532

Our tip:Both Teams To Score: Yes 55% Won

Match details

15:00

2Blackburn 1544

1Cardiff 1479

Our tip:Cards – Blackburn (yellow=1, red=2): Over 1.5 59% Lost

Match details

12:30

0West Brom 1565

1Birmingham 1599

Our tip:Yellow Cards: Under 3.5 56% Lost

Match details

12:30

2Swansea 1626

1Norwich 1597

Our tip:Corners: Under 10.5 58% Won

Match details

12:30

1Charlton 1486

1Bristol City 1556

Our tip:Yellow Cards: Under 3.5 57% Won

Match details

Friday09/10

1 match

20:00

1West Ham 1906

1QPR 1549

Our tip:Total Goals: Over 2.5 62% Lost

Match details

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form	Exp. pts	Exp. pos	Promotion	Promotion Playoffs	Qualification Playoffs	Relegation
1	Swansea	10	7	2	1	16:7	+9	23	LWWWW	72.3	7.1	6%	20%	44%	<1%
2	Middlesbrough	10	6	3	1	20:14	+6	21	WDDWW	86.0	2.6	61%	27%	11%	—
3	West Brom	10	5	2	3	12:10	+2	17	WDLLW	67.3	9.6	2%	8%	35%	<1%
4	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23:12	+11	16	WWWDD	86.8	2.3	67%	24%	9%	—
5	Stoke	10	5	1	4	17:16	+1	16	DWWWL	62.8	12.1	<1%	3%	19%	2%
6	Blackburn	10	4	3	3	15:13	+2	15	LWDWW	53.7	17.3	<1%	<1%	3%	15%
7	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	+3	14	LDDDD	64.1	11.3	<1%	4%	24%	1%
8	Wolves	9	4	2	3	16:14	+2	14	DWWLL	82.0	3.5	39%	36%	21%	—
9	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	+2	14	DLWDW	71.5	7.5	5%	18%	44%	<1%
10	Millwall	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14	LDDWL	63.3	11.8	<1%	4%	21%	2%
11	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	12:14	-2	14	LLWDL	62.5	12.3	<1%	3%	19%	2%
12	Charlton	10	3	5	2	10:13	-3	14	DDLDD	50.3	19.2	—	<1%	1%	31%
13	Southampton	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	13	DWWLW	76.0	5.4	15%	31%	39%	<1%
14	Bolton	10	4	1	5	15:18	-3	13	LWWLW	48.5	19.9	—	<1%	1%	40%
15	Sheffield United	9	3	3	3	12:11	+1	12	LWLLW	62.2	12.4	<1%	3%	18%	2%
16	Wrexham	10	2	5	3	11:15	-4	11	DLWDL	64.6	11.1	1%	4%	26%	1%
17	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11	DWWLL	53.7	17.4	—	<1%	3%	17%
18	Cardiff	10	2	4	4	16:15	+1	10	DLWLW	54.4	16.8	<1%	<1%	4%	14%
19	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17:19	-2	9	WWLLL	69.4	8.4	3%	13%	41%	<1%
20	Portsmouth	8	2	2	4	9:11	-2	8	LWDDL	52.9	17.6	—	<1%	2%	19%
21	Burnley	10	1	5	4	15:19	-4	8	DLDWD	61.2	12.9	<1%	2%	16%	3%
22	Watford	10	2	2	6	8:19	-11	8	WLLLL	49.6	19.4	<1%	<1%	1%	35%
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	8:15	-7	6	LLLDD	48.6	19.7	—	<1%	1%	38%
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8:16	-8	4	WLLDL	41.3	22.5	—	—	<1%	77%

Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation

Notes

Southampton: Points deducted: 4

Final table forecast: 10,000 simulations, as of 11 October 2026

#	Team	Elo	30-day change	Exp. goals for	Exp. goals against
1	Southampton	1,589	+2.6	1.59	1.09
2	Middlesbrough	1,578	+11.8	1.34	1.04
3	Swansea	1,572	+21.0	1.16	1.10
4	Millwall	1,569	−4.4	1.15	1.04
5	Birmingham	1,540	+22.1	1.13	1.10
6	Wrexham	1,535	+0.2	1.26	1.24
7	Bristol City	1,524	−12.7	1.13	1.17
8	QPR	1,513	−0.5	1.11	1.24
9	Sheffield United	1,512	−15.8	1.26	1.11
10	West Brom	1,510	−23.9	1.05	1.04
11	Norwich	1,508	−28.9	1.36	1.27
12	Stoke	1,506	+31.4	1.05	1.18
13	Blackburn	1,499	+19.5	1.02	1.13
14	Charlton	1,488	−13.2	0.91	1.14
15	Portsmouth	1,488	−5.9	1.05	1.27
16	Derby	1,484	−11.6	1.12	1.18
17	West Ham	1,477	+13.7	1.70	1.19
18	Wolves	1,472	+18.0	1.41	1.16
19	Watford	1,461	−32.8	1.01	1.25
20	Lincoln	1,447	+10.3	0.96	1.12
21	Preston	1,446	−17.6	1.02	1.28
22	Burnley	1,430	+8.4	1.29	0.95
23	Bolton	1,429	+13.0	1.16	1.42
24	Cardiff	1,424	−4.8	1.04	1.36

glm-dc model, as of 11 October 2026

Attack and defence of the teams

↑ Defence

Hover or tap a dot to see the team.

1500 = league average. +100 attack points = 1.2x the goals scored, +100 defence points = 1.2x fewer conceded (against the same opponent). Ratings adjust for the strength of opponents and update after every match. Goals are blended 50/50 with xG where xG exists. as of 11 October 2026.

Who is picking up speed

Change of the attack and defence ratings over the last 30 days, in points. A description of recent matches, not a forecast.

Up

West Hamattack +22 · defence +7+29
Wolvesattack −9 · defence +30+21
Birminghamattack +16 · defence +5+21

Down

Watfordattack −25 · defence −19−44
Wrexhamattack −13 · defence −13−26
Charltonattack −12 · defence −9−21

Results vs strength

Points from the last 10 league matches against the points we would expect from the team strength before each match.

Team	Pts	Exp.	Diff
Swansea	23	14.2	+8.8
West Ham	19	14.5	+4.5
Stoke	16	11.8	+4.2
Bristol City	17	13.5	+3.5
Middlesbrough	18	16.0	+2.0
Birmingham	15	13.1	+1.9
Southampton	18	16.3	+1.7
QPR	14	12.6	+1.4
Sheffield United	15	14.5	+0.5
Charlton	13	12.5	+0.5
Wolves	15	14.7	+0.3
Millwall	14	14.5	−0.5
West Brom	14	14.6	−0.6
Lincoln	11	11.9	−0.9
Wrexham	12	13.2	−1.2
Portsmouth	12	13.2	−1.2
Blackburn	12	13.2	−1.2
Bolton	10	13.1	−3.1
Burnley	10	13.5	−3.5
Norwich	9	13.8	−4.8
Watford	8	12.9	−4.9
Cardiff	7	13.3	−6.3
Derby	6	14.1	−8.1
Preston	4	12.3	−8.3

This table compares the points of the last 10 league matches with the points expected from the team strength before each match. Results above (or below) the strength usually do not last: over the next matches the excess almost disappears, and the rating already holds whatever part of it is real.

Championship

Championship: Matches

Upcoming matches

Tomorrow · Wednesday14/10

Friday16/10

Saturday17/10

Latest results

Today · Tuesday13/10

Sunday11/10

Saturday10/10

Friday09/10

Championship: Table

Championship: Fixtures

Championship: Results

Championship: Team strength

Attack and defence of the teams

Who is picking up speed

Up

Down

Results vs strength

Championship: Season profile

Biggest upsets of the season