Premier League

England · 60 of 380 played

Stats

Data up to date

Upcoming matches

Saturday17/10

5 matches

12:30

1.4Everton 1994concede after 75' 12/28

1.4Chelsea 2033Sconcede 2.0/game5.4 cards/game9/10 over 2.5

1X2Elo

130%37%X25%28%244%34%

H2Hhome side's goals first

3:00:20:10:00:6Mostly Chelsea: 3 of 52.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS61%56%O2.558%52%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 56%red 11%

Tip in 3d 10h

15:00

1.5Brentford 20468 unbeaten

1.4Liverpool 210511 pts, exp. 17

1X2Elo

140%35%X25%28%235%36%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:13:20:20:21:4Mostly Liverpool: 3 of 53.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS64%60%O2.562%57%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 57%red 11%

Tip in 3d 12h

15:00

1.7Fulham 19646 pts, exp. 12

1.1Hull 1665promoted

1X2Elo

156%74%X24%16%220%10%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:02:01:00:32:2Mostly Fulham: 3 of 5last met in 20222.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS55%54%O2.555%52%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 52%red 11%

Tip in 3d 12h

15:00

2.4Man City 2217Sscore 2.4/game6 wins in a row

0.9Ipswich 1768promoted

1X2Elo

180%85%X13%10%28%5%

H2Hhome side's goals first

6:04:11:22:31:0Mostly Man City: 3 of 54.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS52%53%O2.570%63%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%red 11%

Tip in 3d 12h

17:30

1.6Newcastle 2016S

1.4Aston Villa 21128/10 over 2.5

1X2Elo

143%32%X26%28%231%40%

H2Hhome side's goals first

0:20:01:43:03:1Level: 2–2, 1 draw2.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.7league 9.9under 9.5: 50%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS63%61%O2.561%58%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 55%red 11%

Tip in 3d 12h

Sunday18/10

4 matches

14:00

1.7Bournemouth 20308 without a win

1.1Sunderland 1834S

1X2Elo

147%64%X27%21%227%15%

H2Hhome side's goals first

1:12:31:01:21:1Mostly Sunderland: 2 of 52.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS57%55%O2.553%53%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%red 11%

Tip in 4d 11h

14:00

1.9Brighton 2082

1.1Crystal Palace 1979concede 2.1/game2.7 cards/game8/10 over 2.5

1X2Elo

162%53%X21%25%217%22%

H2Hhome side's goals first

0:10:01:21:34:1Mostly Crystal Palace: 3 of 52.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS57%58%O2.561%58%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 53%red 11%

Tip in 4d 11h

14:00

1.3Leeds 1964

1.5Man United 2086

1X2Elo

139%29%X26%28%235%43%

H2Hhome side's goals first

2:11:10:22:22:4Mostly Man United: 2 of 53.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS62%58%O2.559%54%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%red 11%

Tip in 4d 11h

16:30

1.1Nott'm Forest 1996

1.4Arsenal 2287concede 0.6/game7.4 corners/game27 pts, exp. 22

1X2Elo

116%16%X23%22%261%62%

H2Hhome side's goals first

0:00:30:00:31:2Mostly Arsenal: 3 of 51.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.4league 9.9under 9.5: 54%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS49%50%O2.550%45%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%red 11%

Tip in 4d 12h

Monday19/10

1 match

20:00

1.7Tottenham 1964

1.1Coventry 1765promoted

1X2Elo

166%64%X20%21%215%15%

H2Hhome side's goals first

3:01:21:03:20:0Mostly Tottenham: 3 of 5last met in 20012.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners

9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS55%55%O2.561%53%

Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast

Referee

awaiting appointment

Yellow cardsleague yellows

3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%red 11%

Tip in 5d 12h

Latest results

Yesterday · Monday12/10

1 match

20:00

4Coventry 1765

1Newcastle 2016

Our tip:Cards – Newcastle (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5 64% Won

Match details

Sunday11/10

3 matches

16:30

0Liverpool 2105

3Man City 2217

Our tip:Cards – Man City (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5 63% Won

Match details

14:00

2Hull 1665

2Everton 1994

Our tip:Cards – Everton (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5 68% Won

Match details

14:00

3Crystal Palace 1979

1Nott'm Forest 1996

Our tip:Cards – Nott'm Forest (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5 66% Won

Match details

Saturday10/10

6 matches

17:30

1Man United 2086

1Tottenham 1964

Our tip:Yellow Cards: Over 3.5 63% Won

Match details

15:00

0Sunderland 1834

2Brighton 2082

Our tip:Cards – Sunderland (yellow=1, red=2): Over 1.5 57% Lost

Match details

15:00

2Ipswich 1768

1Fulham 1964

Our tip:Fouls: Under 20.5 61% Won

Match details

15:00

5Chelsea 2033

1Bournemouth 2030

Our tip:Total Goals: Over 2.5 61% Won

Match details

15:00

2Aston Villa 2112

2Brentford 2046

Our tip:Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5 69% Lost

Match details

12:30

2Arsenal 2287

1Leeds 1964

Our tip:Match Result: Arsenal 68% Won

Match details

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form	Exp. pts	Exp. pos	Champions League	Relegation	UEFA Europa League
1	Man City	6	6	0	0	16:5	+11	18	WWWWW	84.1	1.5	>99%	—	<1%
2	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	10:5	+5	15	WWWLW	81.8	1.7	99%	—	1%
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18:5	+13	13	LDWWW	59.9	6.4	28%	<1%	16%
4	Brentford	6	2	4	0	12:6	+6	10	DDDWD	57.9	7.2	18%	<1%	13%
5	Everton	6	2	4	0	8:5	+3	10	DDDWD	49.3	11.1	2%	4%	3%
6	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	15:13	+2	10	WLDLW	64.5	4.9	53%	—	16%
7	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9	DDWDL	53.2	9.2	6%	1%	7%
8	Hull	6	2	3	1	8:6	+2	9	WDDLD	32.6	18.5	—	78%	—
9	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9	DWDWL	63.8	5.1	48%	<1%	17%
10	Ipswich	6	3	0	3	9:12	-3	9	LLWLW	39.1	16.1	<1%	38%	<1%
11	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	10:13	-3	8	WDLWL	49.5	11.1	3%	4%	3%
12	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7	LWLDW	40.7	15.3	<1%	28%	<1%
13	Man United	6	1	3	2	9:9	0	6	WDLDD	61.7	5.7	38%	<1%	17%
14	Coventry	6	2	0	4	5:11	-6	6	LLLWW	34.7	17.8	<1%	65%	<1%
15	Nott'm Forest	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5	DDWLL	44.8	13.3	<1%	12%	1%
16	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5	LDLWD	46.2	12.7	1%	9%	1%
17	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4	WDLLL	42.3	14.5	<1%	21%	<1%
18	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7:13	-6	3	DDDLL	48.8	11.3	2%	5%	3%
19	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	3:9	-6	3	LDDLD	48.5	11.5	2%	5%	2%
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	6:10	-4	2	LLDDL	40.4	15.3	<1%	30%	<1%

Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Final table forecast: 10,000 simulations, as of 12 October 2026

#	Team	Elo	30-day change	Exp. goals for	Exp. goals against
1	Man City	1,645	+23.6	1.78	0.96
2	Arsenal	1,638	−7.2	1.58	0.83
3	Liverpool	1,550	+1.8	1.54	1.20
4	Brighton	1,544	+28.6	1.43	1.22
5	Man United	1,542	−14.7	1.36	1.29
6	Brentford	1,532	+9.9	1.36	1.29
7	Aston Villa	1,524	+8.2	1.32	1.31
8	Chelsea	1,521	+0.3	1.49	1.35
9	Bournemouth	1,515	−19.9	1.28	1.34
10	Everton	1,511	+4.0	1.06	1.16
11	Newcastle	1,497	−15.8	1.42	1.41
12	Crystal Palace	1,482	+10.7	1.13	1.35
13	Leeds	1,478	+2.7	1.18	1.22
14	Nott'm Forest	1,477	−23.9	1.15	1.26
15	Fulham	1,465	−10.4	1.11	1.31
16	Sunderland	1,448	−13.7	1.03	1.30
17	Tottenham	1,443	−5.3	1.17	1.45
18	Hull	1,406	−4.5	1.19	1.16
19	Ipswich	1,399	+5.4	1.06	1.84
20	Coventry	1,383	+20.2	1.06	1.43

glm-dc model, as of 12 October 2026

Attack and defence of the teams

↑ Defence

Hover or tap a dot to see the team.

1500 = league average. +100 attack points = 1.2x the goals scored, +100 defence points = 1.2x fewer conceded (against the same opponent). Ratings adjust for the strength of opponents and update after every match. Goals are blended 50/50 with xG where xG exists. as of 12 October 2026.

Who is picking up speed

Change of the attack and defence ratings over the last 30 days, in points. A description of recent matches, not a forecast.

Up

Brightonattack +32 · defence +26+58
Leedsattack +7 · defence +16+23
Brentfordattack +14 · defence +6+20

Down

Newcastleattack −10 · defence −26−36
Arsenalattack −13 · defence −11−24
Bournemouthattack −15 · defence −7−22

Results vs strength

Points from the last 10 league matches against the points we would expect from the team strength before each match.

Team	Pts	Exp.	Diff
Arsenal	27	19.7	+7.3
Man City	25	18.8	+6.2
Leeds	16	12.5	+3.5
Sunderland	12	10.2	+1.8
Brentford	15	14.0	+1.0
Brighton	16	15.1	+0.9
Man United	16	15.9	+0.1
Newcastle	15	15.1	−0.1
Hull	10	10.3	−0.3
Ipswich	10	10.6	−0.6
Chelsea	14	14.9	−0.9
Everton	12	13.5	−1.5
Aston Villa	12	13.6	−1.6
Bournemouth	11	12.8	−1.8
Tottenham	10	12.2	−2.2
Crystal Palace	9	12.2	−3.2
Coventry	7	10.3	−3.3
Nott'm Forest	10	14.0	−4.0
Liverpool	11	15.8	−4.8
Fulham	6	13.4	−7.4

This table compares the points of the last 10 league matches with the points expected from the team strength before each match. Results above (or below) the strength usually do not last: over the next matches the excess almost disappears, and the rating already holds whatever part of it is real.

Premier League

Premier League: Matches

Upcoming matches

Saturday17/10

Sunday18/10

Monday19/10

Latest results

Yesterday · Monday12/10

Sunday11/10

Saturday10/10

Premier League: Table

Premier League: Fixtures

Premier League: Results

Premier League: Team strength

Attack and defence of the teams

Who is picking up speed

Up

Down

Results vs strength

Premier League: Season profile

Biggest upsets of the season