Liga Portugal
Portugal · 71 of 307 played
Liga Portugal: Matches
Data up to date
Upcoming matches
Monday19/10
1 matchMatch1X2EloH2Hhome side's goals firstCornersleague cornersGoalsattack/defenceDutching(several bets at once)RefereeYellow cardsleague yellows
1X2Elo
160%66%X24%21%216%13%
H2Hhome side's goals first
1:20:12:00:02:1Level: 2–2, 1 draw1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners
9.1league 9.3under 9.5: 58%
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS44%48%O2.545%44%
Dutching(several bets at once)no forecast
Referee
awaiting appointment
Yellow cardsleague yellows
4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 52%red 21%
Latest results
Yesterday · Monday12/10
1 matchMatch1X2EloH2Hhome side's goals firstCornersleague cornersGoalsattack/defenceDutching(several bets at once)RefereeYellow cardsleague yellows
Our tip:Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 5.5 69% Won
Match detailsSunday11/10
3 matchesMatch1X2EloH2Hhome side's goals firstCornersleague cornersGoalsattack/defenceDutching(several bets at once)RefereeYellow cardsleague yellows
Our tip:Corners: Under 9.5 58% Lost
Match detailsOur tip:Total Goals: Over 2.5 66% Lost
Match detailsOur tip:Yellow Cards: Under 4.5 68% Won
Match detailsSaturday10/10
3 matchesMatch1X2EloH2Hhome side's goals firstCornersleague cornersGoalsattack/defenceDutching(several bets at once)RefereeYellow cardsleague yellows
Our tip:Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 5.5 69% Lost
Match detailsOur tip:Cards – Academico Viseu (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5 57% Lost
Match detailsOur tip:Match Result: Porto 75% Won
Match detailsFriday09/10
2 matchesMatch1X2EloH2Hhome side's goals firstCornersleague cornersGoalsattack/defenceDutching(several bets at once)RefereeYellow cardsleague yellows
Our tip:Corners: Under 9.5 60% Won
Match detailsOur tip:Corners: Under 9.5 59% Won
Match detailsLiga Portugal: Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form | Exp. pts | Exp. pos | Champions League | Champions League Qualification | Conference League Qualification | Relegation | Relegation Playoffs | UEFA Europa League Qualification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | +16 | 24 | WWWWW | 81.7 | 1.8 | 81% | 18% | — | — | — | 1% |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | +17 | 19 | WWWLW | 82.5 | 1.6 | 88% | 12% | <1% | — | — | <1% |
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | +11 | 18 | WWDDW | 75.5 | 2.6 | 31% | 65% | <1% | — | — | 4% |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 18 | DWWDW | 50.8 | 6.4 | <1% | <1% | 34% | — | <1% | 9% |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 14 | WDLDW | 45.1 | 8.6 | — | — | 11% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | LWWWW | 43.6 | 9.3 | — | — | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 11 | DLWWW | 43.9 | 9.1 | — | <1% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 11 | DLLDW | 42.1 | 10.0 | — | — | 5% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 | Sp Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 | WLWDL | 61.2 | 4.2 | <1% | 4% | 12% | — | — | 77% |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DWDLL | 39.5 | 11.2 | — | — | 2% | 3% | 4% | <1% |
| 11 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | LLWDL | 32.0 | 14.7 | — | — | <1% | 26% | 17% | — |
| 12 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 | LLLDL | 36.0 | 12.9 | — | — | 1% | 9% | 9% | <1% |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 7 | DDDWL | 44.2 | 8.8 | — | <1% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 | LLDLW | 33.5 | 14.1 | — | — | <1% | 19% | 14% | <1% |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | LDLDL | 44.6 | 8.7 | — | <1% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL | 29.1 | 15.7 | — | — | <1% | 44% | 18% | — |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 | LDLWL | 26.7 | 16.6 | — | — | — | 64% | 14% | — |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 | LDLLL | 30.9 | 14.9 | — | — | <1% | 31% | 16% | — |
- Champions League
- Champions League Qualification
- UEFA Europa League Qualification
- Conference League Qualification
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Final table forecast: 10,000 simulations, as of 12 October 2026
Liga Portugal: Fixtures
Monday 19 OctoberMatchday 2
Sp Braga–Gil Vicente
1 60%X 24%2 16%
Friday 23 OctoberMatchday 9
Guimaraes–Maritimo
1 57%X 25%2 18%
Saturday 24 OctoberMatchday 9
Sunday 25 OctoberMatchday 9
Estoril–Moreirense
1 52%X 26%2 23%
Nacional–Sp Braga
1 13%X 21%2 66%
Rio Ave–Famalicao
1 23%X 27%2 51%
Sp Lisbon–Academico Viseu
1 83%X 11%2 5%
Monday 26 OctoberMatchday 9
Santa Clara–Benfica
1 11%X 20%2 69%
Saturday 31 OctoberMatchday 10
Sunday 1 NovemberMatchday 10
Monday 2 NovemberMatchday 10
Saturday 7 NovemberMatchday 11
Sunday 8 NovemberMatchday 11
Saturday 28 NovemberMatchday 12
Sunday 29 NovemberMatchday 12
Monday 30 NovemberMatchday 12
Sunday 6 DecemberMatchday 13
Sunday 13 DecemberMatchday 14
Sunday 20 DecemberMatchday 15
Sunday 27 DecemberMatchday 16
Sunday 10 JanuaryMatchday 17
Sunday 17 JanuaryMatchday 18
Sunday 24 JanuaryMatchday 19
Sunday 31 JanuaryMatchday 20
Sunday 7 FebruaryMatchday 21
Sunday 14 FebruaryMatchday 22
Sunday 21 FebruaryMatchday 23
Sunday 28 FebruaryMatchday 24
Sunday 7 MarchMatchday 25
Sunday 14 MarchMatchday 26
Sunday 21 MarchMatchday 27
Saturday 3 AprilMatchday 28
Saturday 10 AprilMatchday 29
Saturday 17 AprilMatchday 30
Saturday 24 AprilMatchday 31
Saturday 1 MayMatchday 32
Saturday 8 MayMatchday 33
Liga Portugal: Results
Monday 12 OctoberMatchday 8
Sunday 11 OctoberMatchday 8
Saturday 10 OctoberMatchday 8
Friday 9 OctoberMatchday 8
Sunday 20 SeptemberMatchday 7
Saturday 19 SeptemberMatchday 7
Monday 14 SeptemberMatchday 6
Sunday 13 SeptemberMatchday 6
Saturday 12 SeptemberMatchday 6
Thursday 10 SeptemberMatchday 3
Wednesday 9 SeptemberMatchday 3
Monday 7 SeptemberMatchday 5
Sunday 6 SeptemberMatchday 5
Saturday 5 SeptemberMatchday 5
Friday 4 SeptemberMatchday 5
Monday 31 AugustMatchday 4
Sunday 30 AugustMatchday 4
Saturday 29 AugustMatchday 4
Friday 28 AugustMatchday 4
Monday 24 AugustMatchday 3
Sunday 23 AugustMatchday 3
Saturday 22 AugustMatchday 3
Monday 17 AugustMatchday 2
Sunday 16 AugustMatchday 2
Saturday 15 AugustMatchday 2
Friday 14 AugustMatchday 2
Monday 10 AugustMatchday 1
Sunday 9 AugustMatchday 1
Saturday 8 AugustMatchday 1
Friday 7 AugustMatchday 1
Liga Portugal: Team strength
| # | Team | Elo | 30-day change | Exp. goals for | Exp. goals against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 1,682 | +12.7 | 1.63 | 0.72 |
| 2 | Sp Lisbon | 1,660 | +1.5 | 2.12 | 0.86 |
| 3 | Benfica | 1,660 | −0.1 | 1.99 | 0.84 |
| 4 | Sp Braga | 1,563 | −4.0 | 1.45 | 1.03 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 1,524 | +21.3 | 0.97 | 0.96 |
| 6 | Arouca | 1,512 | +0.6 | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 1,511 | −2.0 | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 1,497 | +3.2 | 1.02 | 1.11 |
| 9 | Alverca | 1,470 | +21.9 | 1.08 | 1.32 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 1,466 | −3.6 | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| 11 | Guimaraes | 1,457 | −15.1 | 1.03 | 1.18 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 1,450 | −2.1 | 0.97 | 1.49 |
| 13 | Estrela | 1,449 | −18.8 | 0.99 | 1.45 |
| 14 | Academico Viseu | 1,439 | +31.7 | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| 15 | Estoril | 1,427 | −26.2 | 1.17 | 1.44 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 1,426 | +3.0 | 0.84 | 1.40 |
| 17 | Nacional | 1,406 | −16.6 | 0.96 | 1.38 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 1,402 | −7.2 | 1.08 | 1.42 |
glm-dc model, as of 12 October 2026
Attack and defence of the teams
↑ Defence
Hover or tap a dot to see the team.
1500 = league average. +100 attack points = 1.2x the goals scored, +100 defence points = 1.2x fewer conceded (against the same opponent). Ratings adjust for the strength of opponents and update after every match. Goals are blended 50/50 with xG where xG exists. as of 12 October 2026.
Who is picking up speed
Change of the attack and defence ratings over the last 30 days, in points. A description of recent matches, not a forecast.
Results vs strength
Points from the last 10 league matches against the points we would expect from the team strength before each match.
| Team | Pts | Exp. | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 20 | 12.6 | +7.4 |
| Santa Clara | 21 | 13.7 | +7.3 |
| Porto | 27 | 20.0 | +7.0 |
| Academico Viseu | 14 | 8.4 | +5.6 |
| Sp Lisbon | 24 | 20.9 | +3.1 |
| Benfica | 23 | 20.4 | +2.6 |
| Estrela | 12 | 10.9 | +1.1 |
| Alverca | 12 | 11.1 | +0.9 |
| Maritimo | 11 | 11.1 | −0.1 |
| Gil Vicente | 12 | 14.2 | −2.2 |
| Sp Braga | 14 | 16.5 | −2.5 |
| Moreirense | 9 | 11.6 | −2.6 |
| Rio Ave | 8 | 10.6 | −2.6 |
| Casa Pia | 8 | 10.7 | −2.7 |
| Famalicao | 11 | 15.2 | −4.2 |
| Nacional | 7 | 12.2 | −5.2 |
| Guimaraes | 5 | 14.2 | −9.2 |
| Estoril | 3 | 12.6 | −9.6 |
This table compares the points of the last 10 league matches with the points expected from the team strength before each match. Results above (or below) the strength usually do not last: over the next matches the excess almost disappears, and the rating already holds whatever part of it is real.
Liga Portugal: Season profile
71 matches
Goals per match2.75
Home wins39%
Draws25%
Away wins35%
Both teams score51%
Clean sheet28%
Total goals
Over 0.594%
Over 1.575%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.537%
Over 4.510%
Over 5.53%
Most common scores
1:011%
2:211%
0:19%
2:09%
2:19%
1:17%
1:27%
0:06%
Half-time / full-time
row = half-time result, column = full-time result
1X2
123%4%3%
X17%17%13%
20%4%20%
Biggest upsets of the season
Results that had the smallest pre-match chance by club Elo (result after 90 minutes). With thousands of matches a year these happen regularly: 5% is about 1 in 20.
- 1.09/08/26Benfica2:2Academico Viseupre-match chance 7.1%
- 2.10/09/26Estrela2:1Sp Bragapre-match chance 12.1%
- 3.16/08/26Famalicao1:2Maritimopre-match chance 12.1%
- 4.08/08/26Estrela2:2Sp Lisbonpre-match chance 12.5%
- 5.19/09/26Sp Lisbon2:2Aroucapre-match chance 13.1%
- 6.06/09/26Gil Vicente0:1Academico Viseupre-match chance 14.0%
- 7.12/10/26Famalicao1:4Alvercapre-match chance 17.6%
- 8.13/09/26Famalicao1:1Sp Lisbonpre-match chance 20.6%
- 9.20/09/26Estrela0:2Academico Viseupre-match chance 22.8%
- 10.09/08/26Moreirense2:2Sp Bragapre-match chance 23.0%