#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form	Exp. pts	Exp. pos	Promotion	Promotion Playoffs	Relegation
1	Beerschot VA	7	6	0	1	18:6	+12	18	WWWWW	59.3	1.6	60%	40%	—
2	Dender	7	6	0	1	11:2	+9	18	WWWWW	56.0	2.2	29%	70%	—
3	Eupen	6	5	0	1	13:5	+8	15	LWWWW	51.0	3.3	9%	82%	<1%
4	Royal Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9:7	+2	12	LWWWL	43.7	5.6	1%	54%	<1%
5	Hasselt	7	4	0	3	8:10	-2	12	LLWLW	43.8	5.6	1%	54%	<1%
6	Virton	6	3	1	2	11:6	+5	10	WLWDL	36.9	8.4	<1%	15%	3%
7	Lokeren-Temse	6	3	1	2	13:11	+2	10	WLLWD	42.3	6.1	1%	46%	<1%
8	Lierse	6	2	2	2	7:8	-1	8	WDDLW	32.7	10.4	<1%	5%	14%
9	NXT	6	2	2	2	11:13	-2	8	WLDDL	33.7	10.0	—	6%	10%
10	Gent B	6	2	2	2	9:11	-2	8	WDLDW	33.4	10.1	—	6%	11%
11	KRC Genk	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7	WWLDL	30.0	11.6	—	2%	26%
12	Maasmechelen	7	2	0	5	8:12	-4	6	LLLLW	37.1	8.3	<1%	17%	3%
13	Liege	7	1	2	4	11:18	-7	5	LDDLL	33.4	10.0	<1%	6%	11%
14	Seraing	7	0	2	5	8:15	-7	2	DLLDL	24.9	13.4	—	<1%	61%
15	RSC Anderlecht Futures	7	0	1	6	7:17	-10	1	LDLLL	25.0	13.4	—	<1%	60%

Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Final table forecast: 10,000 simulations, as of 11 October 2026

#	Team	Elo	30-day change	Exp. goals for	Exp. goals against
1	Beerschot VA	1,600	+20.9	1.63	0.96
2	Eupen	1,570	+28.0	1.34	1.14
3	Lokeren-Temse	1,538	+5.5	1.41	1.33
4	Maasmechelen	1,529	−14.9	1.31	1.16
5	Liege	1,524	−17.6	1.36	1.43
6	Lierse	1,519	+2.1	1.16	1.26
7	Royal Francs Borains	1,517	−2.3	1.09	1.40
8	Gent B	1,492	−3.0	1.27	1.53
9	Dender	1,485	+31.7	1.50	0.79
10	NXT	1,483	−7.7	1.26	1.51
11	KRC Genk	1,465	−18.6	1.28	1.76
12	Seraing	1,457	−18.7	1.09	1.50
13	Hasselt	1,447	+17.5	1.21	1.32
14	Virton	1,440	+1.6	1.46	1.15
15	RSC Anderlecht Futures	1,435	−24.4	1.30	1.70

glm-dc model, as of 11 October 2026

Attack and defence of the teams

↑ Defence

Hover or tap a dot to see the team.

1500 = league average. +100 attack points = 1.2x the goals scored, +100 defence points = 1.2x fewer conceded (against the same opponent). Ratings adjust for the strength of opponents and update after every match. Goals are blended 50/50 with xG where xG exists. as of 11 October 2026.

Who is picking up speed

Change of the attack and defence ratings over the last 30 days, in points. A description of recent matches, not a forecast.

Up

Eupenattack +16 · defence +25+41
Beerschot VAattack +15 · defence +12+27
Lokeren-Temseattack +14 · defence +12+26

Down

RSC Anderlecht Futuresattack −17 · defence −27−44
Liegeattack +10 · defence −35−25
Maasmechelenattack −21 · defence +1−20

Results vs strength

Points from the last 10 league matches against the points we would expect from the team strength before each match.

Team	Pts	Exp.	Diff
Beerschot VA	25	16.2	+8.8
Dender	24	15.5	+8.5
Royal Francs Borains	19	11.8	+7.2
Eupen	20	13.7	+6.3
Hasselt	12	10.3	+1.7
Lokeren-Temse	16	15.5	+0.5
NXT	12	11.5	+0.5
Lierse	13	12.7	+0.3
Liege	14	13.7	+0.3
Virton	14	14.5	−0.5
KRC Genk	10	11.4	−1.4
Gent B	12	13.7	−1.7
Seraing	6	11.5	−5.5
Maasmechelen	9	16.1	−7.1
RSC Anderlecht Futures	4	11.4	−7.4

This table compares the points of the last 10 league matches with the points expected from the team strength before each match. Results above (or below) the strength usually do not last: over the next matches the excess almost disappears, and the rating already holds whatever part of it is real.

Challenger Pro League