Challenger Pro LeagueMatchday 10
Lierse vs Eupen: prediction, tips and stats
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1.3:1.4Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 19h 52mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS59%55%O2.559%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Eupen0:1LierseW
- Lierse3:2EupenW
- Eupen1:3LierseW
- Lierse3:0EupenW
Lierse's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.Referee
no referee dataPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.9total 3.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Lierse : EupenMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-18%1-0—2-1—0-28%0-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%0-19%1-09%2-18%0-2—0-07%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-210%1-28%0-10-18%0-19%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-18%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-0—0-07%1-31-36%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 77%64% | 64% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%55% | 55% |
| 2 – Eupen win | 53%38% · Elo 44% | 38%· Elo 44% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 47%62% | 62% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 24%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
| 1 – Lierse win | 23%36% · Elo 31% | 36%· Elo 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Lierse attack vs Eupen defenceattack1453defence1540−87 pts to the attack
Eupen attack vs Lierse defenceattack1508defence1492+16 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.555%60%
9.543%43%
10.531%33%
11.522%27%
Each team on its own
Liersewe expect 4.1, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Eupenwe expect 4.7, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 24.8 in this match, 25.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.550%54%
25.543%54%
26.537%44%
27.531%43%
Each team on its own
Liersewe expect 13.4, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 56%
Eupenwe expect 11.3, league average 13.0 · chance of over 12.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.557%60%
3.535%44%
4.519%29%
5.59%19%
Each team on its own
Liersewe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Eupenwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Eupen: 8 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Lierse: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Eupen: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Eupen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 13 | Lierse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lierse vs Eupen?
Eupen are the favourites. Chances: Lierse win 23%, draw 24%, Eupen win 53%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Lierse vs Eupen?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Lierse 1.2, Eupen 1.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Lierse vs Eupen?
The chance that both teams score is 59%.
When is Lierse vs Eupen?
The Challenger Pro League match kicks off 8 November 2026, 15:00 (UK time).