Royal Francs Borains vs Dender: prediction, tips and stats

Wednesday 4 November · 19:00

1.2:1.5Pre-match

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elo

Royal Francs Borains126831%20%Draw26%22%Dender149043%58%

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS59%54%O2.556%50%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5

H2Hlast 2 meetings

19/04/202419/04/24Royal Francs Borains0:3DenderL
05/12/202305/12/23Dender2:0Royal Francs BorainsL

Royal Francs Borains's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.5 goals per match

too few to read anything into

Cornersleague cornersin line with the league

9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.

Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league

3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.

Referee

no referee data

Dutching(several bets at once)

69%O2.51:1coverageleague 64% · H2H 1/2

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.3 : 1.6total 2.9Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.7

Royal Francs Borains : Dender

Most likely scores

Market1-112%0-18%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-27%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-29%2-17%1-08%0-28%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-18%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-17%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-28%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	80%74%	74%
12 – no draw	74%74%	74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	69%69%	69%
Under 3.5 goals	66%72%	72%
Both teams to score: yes	59%54%	54%
1X – home team avoid defeat	57%57%	57%
Over 2.5 goals	56%50%	50%
Under 2.5 goals	44%50%	50%
2 – Dender win	43%43% · Elo 58%	43%· Elo 58%
Both teams to score: no	41%46%	46%
Over 3.5 goals	34%28%	28%
1 – Royal Francs Borains win	31%31% · Elo 20%	31%· Elo 20%
X – draw	26%27% · Elo 22%	27%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals	20%26%	26%

Attack vs defence

Royal Francs Borains attack vs Dender defenceattack1433defence1581−148 pts to the attack

Dender attack vs Royal Francs Borains defenceattack1524defence1480+44 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 9.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%

We expect 8.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

8.550%59%

9.537%41%

10.526%31%

11.518%24%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Royal Francs Borainswe expect 4.2, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 41%

Denderwe expect 4.1, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 39%

Foulsleague average

Under 25.5 · 52%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 49%

We expect 25.6 in this match, 25.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

24.555%54%

25.549%54%

26.542%46%

27.536%44%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Royal Francs Borainswe expect 11.9, league average 12.7 · chance of over 12.5: 41%

Denderwe expect 13.7, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 50%

Offsidesleague average

Under 3.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%

We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.559%61%

3.537%48%

4.520%31%

5.59%20%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Royal Francs Borainswe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 49%

Denderwe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 38%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Dender: newly promoted
Dender played 3 days ago
Royal Francs Borains: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form