Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Agamenone vs Houkes 1:2: result and our tips

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Franco AgamenoneATP #359Elo 1564clay 1560
1:2final6:7(5) 7:5 1:6
Max HoukesATP #205Elo 1681clay 1686

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won66%

Where the number comes from: market alone 71% → with the players' profiles 66%

Agamenone: 16 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: HoukesWon73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Agamenone lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 40%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Agamenone 13 of 20, Houkes 8 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Franco Agamenone26%
Max Houkes74%

Elo: F. Agamenone 33% · M. Houkes 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Agamenone14%
2:1 F. Agamenone13%
2:1 M. Houkes23%
2:0 M. Houkes51%

First set

Franco Agamenone33%
Max Houkes67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.565%35%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.545%55%47%
22.539%61%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,332 matches

Games handicap

Max Houkes −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.0out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Franco AgamenoneMax Houkes
3Aces3
3Double faults4
73%First serves in67%
56%First-serve points won65%
48%Second-serve points won53%
5/9Break points converted6/9
9/15Service games held11/16
54%Service points won61%
39%Return points won47%
89Total points won102

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. AgamenoneTourM. Houkes
Service points won58%62%61%
Return points won41%38%38%
Service games held68%76%73%
Breaks of serve31%24%26%
Aces per service game0.170.38
Double faults per game0.240.22
Sets with a tie-break15%18%
Tie-breaks won10/196/14
Wins in straight sets63%67%
Matches in the sample5334

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Franco Agamenone

  • 13/10/26LSvyatoslav Gulin#545Challenger Catania · R325:7 2:6
  • 28/09/26LJohn Sperle#660Challenger Bari · Q22:6 6:1 6:7
  • 27/09/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#640Challenger Bari · Q12:6 6:3 6:2
  • 15/09/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#409Challenger Biella · R324:6 3:6
  • 08/09/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Genoa · R323:6 0:4
  • 31/08/26LMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R325:7 3:6
  • 06/08/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#274Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R166:4 2:6 6:7
  • 04/08/26WJack Loge#506Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R327:6 5:7 6:4
  • 28/07/26LMarco Cecchinato#164Challenger San Marino · R323:6 4:6
  • 13/07/26LAlex Barrena#212Challenger Cordenons · R327:6 4:6 5:7

Max Houkes

Elo over the last year

Franco AgamenoneMax Houkes

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. AgamenoneM. Houkes
Hard court0–01–325%
Clay24–2945%14–1450%
Grass0–00–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also