Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets
Aguilar Cardozo vs Villalon Valdes 2:0: result and our tips
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2:0final6:2 7:5
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo95%
Nicolas Villalon Valdes5%
Elo: J. Aguilar Cardozo 86% · N. Villalon Valdes 14%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Aguilar Cardozo83%
2:1 J. Aguilar Cardozo12%
2:1 N. Villalon Valdes3%
2:0 N. Villalon Valdes2%
First set
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo90%
Nicolas Villalon Valdes10%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes15%
no85%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 65%market (no margin): 50%
The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 17.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5 | 88% | 12% | 100% |
| 13.5 | 77% | 23% | 98% |
| 14.5 | 64% | 36% | 96% |
| 15.5 | 52% | 48% | 91% |
| 16.5 | 42% | 58% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 35% | 65% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 28% | 72% | 68% |
Sample: 1,178 matches
Games handicap
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo −7.544%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes7%
tour average 28%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 17.5out · 20 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Nicolas Villalon Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 2 |
| 3 | Double faults | 2 |
| 64% | First serves in | 65% |
| 74% | First-serve points won | 63% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 41% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 9/10 | Service games held | 6/10 |
| 69% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 31% |
| 66 | Total points won | 52 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | Tour | N. Villalon Valdes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 24% | 34% |
| Aces per service game | 0.12 | 0.24 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.35 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/10 | 3/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 79% | |
| Matches in the sample | 30 | 27 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 0:6 6:3
- 04/10/26WSantiago De la Fuente#719Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:1 6:7 6:0
- 26/09/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 25/09/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF6:2 6:4
- 23/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#125Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R167:5 6:7 6:4
- 22/09/26WCarlos Maria Zarate#352Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:2 6:1
- 21/09/26WFederico Aguilar CardozoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:4 7:5
- 21/09/26WMateo Del PinoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:1 6:2
- 26/06/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#255Challenger Piracicaba · QF6:7 2:6
- 26/06/26WJuan Bautista Torres#279Challenger Piracicaba · R166:3 6:4
Nicolas Villalon Valdes
- 05/07/26LBrandon PerezChallenger Bogota · Q12:6 2:6
- 22/06/26LGonzalo Villanueva#323Challenger Piracicaba · R326:1 3:6 1:6
- 10/06/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · R322:6 7:6 3:6
- 09/06/26WEzequiel Monferrer#999Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Q27:6 6:4
- 07/06/26WGonzalo ZeituneChallenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Q15:7 6:4 7:5
- 11/05/26LThiago Cigarran#622Challenger Cordoba · Q26:1 6:7 4:6
- 05/05/26LFermin Tenti#883Challenger Santos · Q21:6 6:4 4:6
- 03/05/26WVictor BragaChallenger Santos · Q16:0 6:2
- 15/04/26LSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#460Challenger Santa Cruz · R166:7 6:3 6:7
- 14/04/26WSantiago De la Fuente#719Challenger Santa Cruz · R326:4 7:5
Elo over the last year
Joaquin Aguilar CardozoNicolas Villalon Valdes
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | N. Villalon Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 0–10% |
| Clay | 20–1165% | 14–1254% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 04/10/26WSantiago De la Fuente#719Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:1 6:7 6:0
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 0:6 6:3
Nicolas Villalon Valdes
First match in this tournament.