Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets

Almazan Valiente vs Gill: prediction and tips

·

Izan Almazan ValienteATP #428Elo 1677clay 1682
-:-
Felix GillATP #222Elo 1705clay 1709

Our tips

Tip in 3h 5m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Izan Almazan Valiente27%
Felix Gill73%

Elo: I. Almazan Valiente 46% · F. Gill 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Almazan Valiente15%
2:1 I. Almazan Valiente13%
2:1 F. Gill23%
2:0 F. Gill49%

First set

Izan Almazan Valiente34%
Felix Gill67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.537%63%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,489 matches

Games handicap

Felix Gill −4.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. Almazan ValienteTourF. Gill
Service points won61%62%63%
Return points won42%38%37%
Service games held75%76%80%
Breaks of serve34%24%19%
Aces per service game0.270.34
Double faults per game0.290.15
Sets with a tie-break10%22%
Tie-breaks won4/715/28
Wins in straight sets68%46%
Matches in the sample2851

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Izan Almazan Valiente

  • 12/10/26WSean Cuenin#310Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 4:3
  • 25/09/26LAdrian Andreev#610Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF1:6 2:6
  • 24/09/26WMaxim Mrva#217Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R167:5 0:6 6:2
  • 22/09/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#447Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:4 6:4
  • 21/09/26WGeorge Lazarov#888Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:1 7:5
  • 20/09/26WStefan Popovic#642Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:2 6:3
  • 17/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#318Challenger Biella · R164:6 3:6
  • 15/09/26WFranco Agamenone#378Challenger Biella · R326:4 6:3
  • 14/09/26WGianmarco Ferrari#516Challenger Biella · Q26:1 6:1
  • 13/09/26WMatteo Covato#742Challenger Biella · Q16:3 6:1

Felix Gill

Elo over the last year

Izan Almazan ValienteFelix Gill

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. Almazan ValienteF. Gill
Hard court8–467%8–657%
Clay11–569%16–1062%
Grass0–04–736%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Izan Almazan Valiente

Felix Gill