Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Ambrogi vs Maloney 0:2: result and our tips

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Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiATP #332Elo 1567hard 1470
0:2final3:6 5:7
Patrick MaloneyATP #910Elo 1597hard 1573

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Maloney: 9 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ambrogi: 4 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi19%
Patrick Maloney82%

Elo: L. Ambrogi 36% · P. Maloney 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Ambrogi10%
2:1 L. Ambrogi9%
2:1 P. Maloney21%
2:0 P. Maloney61%

First set

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi25%
Patrick Maloney75%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%79%
18.566%34%71%
19.557%43%62%
20.548%52%54%
21.542%58%49%
22.536%64%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,697 matches

Games handicap

Patrick Maloney −4.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiPatrick Maloney
9Aces5
0Double faults2
59%First serves in61%
71%First-serve points won73%
39%Second-serve points won57%
1/6Break points converted3/8
7/10Service games held10/11
58%Service points won67%
33%Return points won42%
61Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. AmbrogiTourP. Maloney
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won41%38%36%
Service games held72%76%80%
Breaks of serve30%24%19%
Aces per service game0.280.44
Double faults per game0.160.29
Sets with a tie-break10%19%
Tie-breaks won4/103/5
Wins in straight sets65%80%
Matches in the sample4411

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Patrick Maloney

  • 29/09/26LDarwin Blanch#159Challenger Columbus · R324:6 5:7
  • 23/09/26LIgor Marcondes#266Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:3 6:7 2:6
  • 21/09/26WBraden Shick#208Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:3 7:6
  • 16/09/26LMichael Mmoh#147Challenger Tiburon · R165:7 3:6
  • 14/09/26WAlastair Gray#283Challenger Tiburon · R326:3 5:7 7:6
  • 20/07/26LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q26:4 3:6 2:6
  • 19/07/26WHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q16:3 7:6
  • 12/07/26LYibing Wu#106Challenger Lincoln · Q16:7 3:6
  • 08/07/26LGarrett Johns#458Challenger Newport · R326:3 3:6 4:6
  • 07/07/26WHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Newport · Q26:3 6:4

Elo over the last year

Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiPatrick Maloney

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. AmbrogiP. Maloney
Hard court0–10%3–538%
Clay23–2053%0–0
Grass0–02–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.