ATP Almaty250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Atmane vs Hijikata 2:0: result and our tips

·

Terence AtmaneATP #98Elo 1893hard 1885
2:0final7:6(5) 6:2
Rinky HijikataATP #86Elo 1900hard 1866

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hijikata: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 25.5Won57%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 57%

    Hijikata: 6 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Long shot
1st Set Winner: AtmaneWon48%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Atmane: 4 matches in a row winning the first set; Atmane won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Hijikata lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Terence Atmane47%
Rinky Hijikata53%

Elo: T. Atmane 53% · R. Hijikata 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Atmane28%
2:1 T. Atmane20%
2:1 R. Hijikata20%
2:0 R. Hijikata32%

First set

Terence Atmane48%
Rinky Hijikata52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.572%28%60%
21.565%35%54%
22.559%41%46%
23.550%50%39%
24.545%55%38%
25.543%57%35%
26.538%62%30%

Sample: 5,299 matches

Games handicap

Rinky Hijikata −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes51%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Terence AtmaneRinky Hijikata
9Aces3
1Double faults1
64%First serves in66%
87%First-serve points won69%
67%Second-serve points won59%
2/4Break points converted0/1
10/10Service games held8/10
79%Service points won66%
34%Return points won21%
68Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. AtmaneTourR. Hijikata
Service points won66%62%62%
Return points won31%38%38%
Service games held82%76%78%
Breaks of serve14%24%23%
Aces per service game0.610.38
Double faults per game0.220.21
Sets with a tie-break20%20%
Tie-breaks won12/2423/37
Wins in straight sets63%57%
Matches in the sample4876

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Terence Atmane

Rinky Hijikata

Elo over the last year

Terence AtmaneRinky Hijikata

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. AtmaneR. Hijikata
Hard court14–1844%31–2160%
Clay4–736%6–746%
Grass1–420%7–464%

Head to head

They have not met yet.