Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Balshaw vs Schwaerzler 1:2: result and our tips
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1:2final7:6(1) 3:6 5:7
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Felix Balshaw51%
Joel Schwaerzler49%
Elo: F. Balshaw 58% · J. Schwaerzler 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 F. Balshaw31%
2:1 F. Balshaw20%
2:1 J. Schwaerzler19%
2:0 J. Schwaerzler30%
First set
Felix Balshaw51%
Joel Schwaerzler49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 42% | 58% | 36% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 32% |
Sample: 5,065 matches
Games handicap
Felix Balshaw −0.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes43%
tour average 34%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 23.0out · 34 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Felix Balshaw | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Aces | 7 |
| 4 | Double faults | 4 |
| 55% | First serves in | 60% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 53% |
| 1/4 | Break points converted | 3/6 |
| 13/16 | Service games held | 16/17 |
| 68% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 32% |
| 106 | Total points won | 107 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Balshaw | Tour | J. Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.65 | 0.48 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/22 | 23/34 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 60 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Felix Balshaw
- 02/10/26LHenry Bernet#371Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF6:3 2:6 3:6
- 01/10/26WNicolai Budkov Kjaer#152Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R167:5 4:6 7:6
- 29/09/26WBilly Harris#241Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R327:6 3:6 7:6
- 08/09/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#152Challenger Cassis · R324:6 4:6
- 06/09/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Manacor · F3:6 6:2 6:3
- 05/09/26WMark Lajal#149Challenger Manacor · SF7:6 7:5
- 04/09/26WBilly Harris#241Challenger Manacor · QF3:6 7:6 7:5
- 03/09/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Manacor · R167:5 6:2
- 01/09/26WAugust Holmgren#236Challenger Manacor · R327:6 7:5
- 24/08/26LAleksandar Kovacevic#81ATP Winston Salem · R644:6 6:7
Joel Schwaerzler
- 03/10/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#189Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · SF4:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WLucas Poullain#322Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF6:4 6:1
- 01/10/26WHarry Wendelken#182Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R166:4 6:3
- 29/09/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#681Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:3 7:5
- 22/09/26LMaxime Chazal#427Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:2 4:6 6:7
- 03/09/26LLuca Potenza#528Challenger Manacor · R162:6 2:6
- 01/09/26WMax Basing#248Challenger Manacor · R326:3 6:7 6:4
- 26/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165ATP US Open · Q26:3 4:6 1:6
- 24/08/26WGustavo Heide#116ATP US Open · Q12:6 6:4 6:4
- 18/08/26LKenta (2004) Miyoshi#450Challenger Kingston · R322:6 5:7
Elo over the last year
Felix BalshawJoel Schwaerzler
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Balshaw | J. Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–867% | 19–1261% |
| Clay | 13–668% | 14–1450% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.