ATP Almaty250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Bar Biryukov vs Sakellaridis 0:2: result and our tips

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Petr Bar BiryukovATP #327Elo 1594hard 1615
0:2final2:6 3:6
Stefanos SakellaridisATP #133Elo 1770hard 1737

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bar Biryukov: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Petr Bar Biryukov33%
Stefanos Sakellaridis67%

Elo: P. Bar Biryukov 33% · S. Sakellaridis 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Bar Biryukov20%
2:1 P. Bar Biryukov14%
2:1 S. Sakellaridis23%
2:0 S. Sakellaridis43%

First set

Petr Bar Biryukov38%
Stefanos Sakellaridis62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 46%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%60%
21.560%40%54%
22.554%46%46%
23.546%54%39%
24.540%60%38%
25.538%62%34%
26.535%65%30%

Sample: 5,180 matches

Games handicap

Stefanos Sakellaridis −3.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes49%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Petr Bar BiryukovStefanos Sakellaridis
6Aces6
5Double faults3
52%First serves in56%
61%First-serve points won87%
42%Second-serve points won72%
0/2Break points converted4/6
5/9Service games held8/8
52%Service points won81%
20%Return points won48%
36Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. Bar BiryukovTourS. Sakellaridis
Service points won64%62%65%
Return points won32%38%37%
Service games held80%76%79%
Breaks of serve16%24%24%
Aces per service game0.830.59
Double faults per game0.410.24
Sets with a tie-break22%17%
Tie-breaks won15/2615/26
Wins in straight sets58%61%
Matches in the sample5066

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Petr Bar Biryukov

  • 11/10/26LOmar Jasika#388Challenger Jinan · Q11:6 2:6
  • 01/10/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Jingshan · R164:6 1:6
  • 30/09/26WMasamichi Imamura#427Challenger Jingshan · R327:5 6:4
  • 23/09/26LAlexandre Muller#131ATP Chengdu · Q24:6 4:6
  • 22/09/26WAndre Ilagan#203ATP Chengdu · Q17:6 7:6
  • 19/09/26LMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · SF5:7 3:6
  • 18/09/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF7:6 4:6 7:6
  • 17/09/26WNaoya Honda#597Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:3 6:4
  • 15/09/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:4
  • 08/09/26LDenis Yevseyev#470Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 7:6 2:6

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Elo over the last year

Petr Bar BiryukovStefanos Sakellaridis

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. Bar BiryukovS. Sakellaridis
Hard court22–1954%19–1359%
Clay2–529%18–967%
Grass0–20%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.