WTA 125 RoveretoRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Basiletti vs Hruncakova 0:2: result and our tips

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Noemi BasilettiWTA #241Elo 1622hard 1529
0:2final2:6 2:6
Viktoria HruncakovaWTA #206Elo 1530hard 1503

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: BasilettiLost55%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Basiletti won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Hruncakova lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Basiletti 2-0Lost36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Basiletti won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Hruncakova lost 0-2 in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Noemi Basiletti54%
Viktoria Hruncakova46%

Elo: N. Basiletti 54% · V. Hruncakova 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Basiletti36%
2:1 N. Basiletti19%
2:1 V. Hruncakova20%
2:0 V. Hruncakova26%

First set

Noemi Basiletti55%
Viktoria Hruncakova45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%60%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%36%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%64%30%

Sample: 2,308 matches

Games handicap

Noemi Basiletti −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Noemi BasilettiViktoria Hruncakova
1Aces6
0Double faults2
52%First serves in69%
36%First-serve points won79%
50%Second-serve points won39%
2/3Break points converted6/11
2/8Service games held6/8
43%Service points won67%
33%Return points won57%
41Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. BasilettiTourV. Hruncakova
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won47%44%40%
Service games held64%63%67%
Breaks of serve41%37%28%
Aces per service game0.050.62
Double faults per game0.200.49
Sets with a tie-break6%13%
Tie-breaks won1/31/7
Wins in straight sets85%55%
Matches in the sample2324

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Noemi Basiletti

Viktoria Hruncakova

Elo over the last year

Noemi BasilettiViktoria Hruncakova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. BasilettiV. Hruncakova
Hard court0–10%8–1142%
Clay13–959%2–167%
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also