WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Bejlek vs Parks 2:1: result and our tips

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Sara BejlekWTA #32Elo 1889hard 1884
2:1final4:6 6:3 6:3
Alycia ParksWTA #64Elo 1644hard 1643

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Bejlek 2-0Lost62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bejlek won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Parks lost 0-2 in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%); Bejlek won 2-0 in 2 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 20.5Lost59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Parks: 6 matches in a row under 20.5 games; Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Bejlek 11 of 20, Parks 14 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Parks: 3 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sara Bejlek83%
Alycia Parks17%

Elo: S. Bejlek 80% · A. Parks 20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Bejlek62%
2:1 S. Bejlek21%
2:1 A. Parks8%
2:0 A. Parks8%

First set

Sara Bejlek77%
Alycia Parks24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.577%23%82%
17.566%34%72%
18.556%44%63%
19.548%52%55%
20.541%59%49%
21.538%62%44%
22.533%67%38%

Sample: 1,238 matches

Games handicap

Sara Bejlek −5.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sara BejlekAlycia Parks
0Aces3
6Double faults11
81%First serves in80%
67%First-serve points won71%
46%Second-serve points won38%
5/13Break points converted3/14
11/14Service games held9/14
58%Service points won56%
44%Return points won42%
103Total points won97

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. BejlekTourA. Parks
Service points won56%56%57%
Return points won47%44%41%
Service games held64%63%66%
Breaks of serve43%37%30%
Aces per service game0.110.55
Double faults per game0.270.58
Sets with a tie-break12%8%
Tie-breaks won7/139/14
Wins in straight sets78%59%
Matches in the sample5271

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sara Bejlek

Alycia Parks

Elo over the last year

Sara BejlekAlycia Parks

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. BejlekA. Parks
Hard court21–1166%23–2548%
Clay10–663%10–856%
Grass1–325%1–420%

Head to head

S. Bejlek 3–0 A. Parks

  • 15/09/26Winner: Sara Bejlek6:4 6:3
  • 23/07/25Winner: Sara Bejlek7:6 6:3
  • 11/01/23Winner: Sara Bejlek5:7 6:4 6:2

Road through the tournament

Sara Bejlek

First match in this tournament.

Alycia Parks