Bellucci vs Muller 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bellucci won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Muller lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Bellucci to winWon69%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bellucci won 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Bellucci 62% · A. Muller 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 4,850 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 34%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Mattia Bellucci | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 3 |
| 1 | Double faults | 0 |
| 64% | First serves in | 72% |
| 88% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 58% | Second-serve points won | 57% |
| 3/5 | Break points converted | 0/3 |
| 9/9 | Service games held | 6/9 |
| 77% | Service points won | 62% |
| 38% | Return points won | 23% |
| 59 | Total points won | 43 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Bellucci | Tour | A. Muller | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.55 | 0.33 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/24 | 10/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 63 | 49 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mattia Bellucci
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#192ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
- 04/10/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Jingshan · F6:1 3:6 6:7
- 03/10/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Jingshan · SF6:4 6:4
- 01/10/26WAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 6:2
- 30/09/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jingshan · R326:0 6:3
- 29/09/26WKeisuke Saitoh#550Challenger Jingshan · Q26:2 6:2
- 28/09/26WFilip Peliwo#661Challenger Jingshan · Q16:2 6:4
- 24/09/26LKamil Majchrzak#70ATP Hangzhou · R323:6 4:6
- 03/09/26LTaylor Fritz#12ATP US Open · R640:6 1:6 1:6
- 01/09/26WZsombor Piros#114ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:2 6:0
Alexandre Muller
- 05/10/26WRio Noguchi#221ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 4:6 6:1
- 30/09/26LMattia Bellucci#86Challenger Jingshan · R320:6 3:6
- 27/09/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#26ATP Chengdu · QF1:6 5:7
- 26/09/26WFederico Cina#147ATP Chengdu · R167:6 6:1
- 24/09/26WMoise Kouame#201ATP Chengdu · R326:4 6:0
- 23/09/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#278ATP Chengdu · Q26:4 6:4
- 22/09/26WLuka Pavlovic#207ATP Chengdu · Q16:4 6:7 6:3
- 03/09/26LFelix Balshaw#198Challenger Manacor · R165:7 2:6
- 02/09/26WZiga Sesko#704Challenger Manacor · R326:4 6:2
- 26/08/26LRei Sakamoto#137ATP US Open · Q23:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Bellucci | A. Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1953% | 12–1348% |
| Clay | 7–750% | 9–1439% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 0–10% |
Head to head
M. Bellucci 2–0 A. Muller
- 30/09/26Winner: Mattia Bellucci6:0 6:3
- 23/09/24Winner: Mattia Bellucci4:6 6:2 7:6
Road through the tournament
Mattia Bellucci
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#192ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
Alexandre Muller
- 05/10/26WRio Noguchi#221ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 4:6 6:1