Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Bernet vs Neuchrist 2:0: result and our tips

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Henry BernetATP #371Elo 1710hard 1663
2:0final7:6(4) 6:2
Maximilian NeuchristElo 1539hard 1564

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Henry Bernet91%
Maximilian Neuchrist9%

Elo: H. Bernet 64% · M. Neuchrist 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Bernet73%
2:1 H. Bernet17%
2:1 M. Neuchrist5%
2:0 M. Neuchrist6%

First set

Henry Bernet82%
Maximilian Neuchrist18%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no78%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 63%market (no margin): 47%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.583%17%88%
17.574%27%80%
18.563%37%71%
19.553%47%63%
20.544%56%54%
21.537%63%49%
22.532%68%42%

Sample: 1,467 matches

Games handicap

Henry Bernet −5.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Henry BernetMaximilian Neuchrist
9Aces6
2Double faults4
57%First serves in77%
94%First-serve points won73%
74%Second-serve points won29%
2/4Break points converted0/0
10/10Service games held8/10
85%Service points won63%
37%Return points won15%
73Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. BernetTourM. Neuchrist
Service points won63%62%66%
Return points won36%38%34%
Service games held79%76%83%
Breaks of serve19%24%16%
Aces per service game0.470.62
Double faults per game0.250.17
Sets with a tie-break14%29%
Tie-breaks won4/113/6
Wins in straight sets62%67%
Matches in the sample3210

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Henry Bernet

  • 03/10/26LClement Chidekh#146Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · SF2:6 4:6
  • 02/10/26WFelix Balshaw#198Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF3:6 6:2 6:3
  • 01/10/26WDominic Stricker#263Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R166:1 7:6
  • 30/09/26WDaniil Glinka#178Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:4 6:4
  • 07/09/26LDiego Dedura#190Challenger Tulln · Q26:4 3:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26WLuca Wiedenmann#537Challenger Tulln · Q16:2 6:3
  • 02/09/26LMatej Dodig#174Challenger Como · R167:6 6:7 5:7
  • 01/09/26WStefano Napolitano#284Challenger Como · R323:0
  • 19/08/26LLorenzo Giustino#216Challenger Sion · R164:6 6:3 6:7
  • 18/08/26WJohan Nikles#399Challenger Sion · R326:3 6:0

Maximilian Neuchrist

  • 16/08/26LAlex Marti Pujolras#499Challenger Sion · Q16:7 7:5 4:6
  • 07/07/26LValentin Royer#105Challenger Iasi · R322:6 3:6
  • 06/07/26LOlle Wallin#423Challenger Iasi · Q25:7 3:6
  • 05/07/26WRamkumar RamanathanChallenger Iasi · Q16:4 6:1
  • 26/04/26LMatteo FondriestChallenger Abidjan 2 · Q14:1
  • 21/04/26LKarim Bennani#433Challenger Abidjan · R323:4
  • 12/03/26LStefano Napolitano#284Challenger Kigali 2 · R163:6 7:6 1:6
  • 10/03/26WFlorent Bax#302Challenger Kigali 2 · R327:6 6:7 7:6
  • 02/03/26LStefano Napolitano#284Challenger Kigali · Q25:7 6:7
  • 01/03/26WClaude IshimweChallenger Kigali · Q16:0 6:2

Elo over the last year

Henry BernetMaximilian Neuchrist

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. BernetM. Neuchrist
Hard court4–931%0–20%
Clay9–1047%3–538%

Head to head

They have not met yet.