Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Bertola vs Virtanen: prediction and tips

·

Remy BertolaATP #227Elo 1697hard 1659
-:-
Otto VirtanenATP #107Elo 1819hard 1794

Our tips

Tip in 7h 11m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Remy Bertola30%
Otto Virtanen70%

Elo: R. Bertola 32% · O. Virtanen 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Bertola17%
2:1 R. Bertola13%
2:1 O. Virtanen22%
2:0 O. Virtanen48%

First set

Remy Bertola35%
Otto Virtanen65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.538%63%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 4,630 matches

Games handicap

Otto Virtanen −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. BertolaTourO. Virtanen
Service points won63%62%66%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held77%76%83%
Breaks of serve24%24%21%
Aces per service game0.450.82
Double faults per game0.330.28
Sets with a tie-break18%28%
Tie-breaks won14/2719/43
Wins in straight sets62%66%
Matches in the sample6461

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Remy Bertola

Otto Virtanen

Elo over the last year

Remy BertolaOtto Virtanen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. BertolaO. Virtanen
Hard court17–1750%17–1259%
Clay10–1050%7–1041%
Grass7–370%11–473%

Head to head

R. Bertola 0–1 O. Virtanen

  • 05/03/24Winner: Otto Virtanen5:7 3:6