WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Birrell vs Ito 2:0: result and our tips

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Kimberly BirrellWTA #41Elo 1809hard 1805
2:0final6:4 6:2
Aoi ItoWTA #300Elo 1588hard 1600

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: BirrellWon72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Birrell won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kimberly Birrell72%
Aoi Ito28%

Elo: K. Birrell 76% · A. Ito 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Birrell50%
2:1 K. Birrell21%
2:1 A. Ito14%
2:0 A. Ito16%

First set

Kimberly Birrell68%
Aoi Ito33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%72%
18.566%34%64%
19.558%42%56%
20.551%49%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.539%61%38%
23.535%65%34%

Sample: 1,839 matches

Games handicap

Kimberly Birrell −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kimberly BirrellAoi Ito
1Aces2
1Double faults2
88%First serves in77%
66%First-serve points won54%
67%Second-serve points won47%
4/14Break points converted1/1
8/9Service games held5/9
66%Service points won52%
48%Return points won34%
68Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. BirrellTourA. Ito
Service points won57%56%53%
Return points won44%44%45%
Service games held66%63%56%
Breaks of serve38%37%37%
Aces per service game0.170.11
Double faults per game0.470.42
Sets with a tie-break15%12%
Tie-breaks won9/222/8
Wins in straight sets55%80%
Matches in the sample5929

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kimberly Birrell

Aoi Ito

Elo over the last year

Kimberly BirrellAoi Ito

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. BirrellA. Ito
Hard court27–1761%8–1240%
Clay1–420%1–233%
Grass5–550%1–517%

Head to head

K. Birrell 2–0 A. Ito

  • 01/10/26Winner: Kimberly Birrell6:1 6:1
  • 20/10/24Winner: Kimberly Birrell6:4 6:3