Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Blanch vs Alcala Gurri 0:2: result and our tips

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Dali BlanchATP #325Elo 1623clay 1620
0:2final1:6 2:6
Max Alcala GurriATP #138Elo 1836clay 1841

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Alcala GurriWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Alcala Gurri: 7 wins in a row; Alcala Gurri won 7 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: Alcala GurriWon65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Alcala Gurri: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won61%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 56% → with the players' profiles 61%

    Alcala Gurri: 4 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won44%

Where the number comes from: market alone 37% → with the players' profiles 44%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Blanch 10 of 20, Alcala Gurri 13 of 20 (tour average 41%); Alcala Gurri: 4 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dali Blanch30%
Max Alcala Gurri70%

Elo: D. Blanch 22% · M. Alcala Gurri 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Blanch16%
2:1 D. Blanch14%
2:1 M. Alcala Gurri23%
2:0 M. Alcala Gurri47%

First set

Dali Blanch35%
Max Alcala Gurri65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%76%
18.563%37%68%
19.556%44%59%
20.550%50%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.539%61%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,819 matches

Games handicap

Max Alcala Gurri −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dali BlanchMax Alcala Gurri
—Aces—
3Double faults1
51%First serves in88%
39%First-serve points won76%
52%Second-serve points won20%
0/1Break points converted5/13
3/8Service games held7/7
46%Service points won70%
30%Return points won55%
38Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. BlanchTourM. Alcala Gurri
Service points won61%62%61%
Return points won43%38%46%
Service games held75%76%73%
Breaks of serve33%24%42%
Aces per service game0.410.10
Double faults per game0.280.24
Sets with a tie-break16%8%
Tie-breaks won11/224/8
Wins in straight sets74%73%
Matches in the sample6146

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dali Blanch

Max Alcala Gurri

Elo over the last year

Dali BlanchMax Alcala Gurri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. BlanchM. Alcala Gurri
Hard court7–944%0–20%
Clay28–1762%33–1175%

Head to head

D. Blanch 1–0 M. Alcala Gurri

  • 09/06/26Winner: Dali Blanch7:5 6:2

See also