Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Blanchet vs Tepmahc 2:0: result and our tips

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Ugo BlanchetATP #305Elo 1656hard 1675
2:0final6:2 6:1
Nicolas TepmahcATP #635Elo 1312hard 1313

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ugo Blanchet92%
Nicolas Tepmahc8%

Elo: U. Blanchet 89% · N. Tepmahc 11%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 U. Blanchet74%
2:1 U. Blanchet17%
2:1 N. Tepmahc4%
2:0 N. Tepmahc5%

First set

Ugo Blanchet83%
Nicolas Tepmahc17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 18.5 · 54%market (no margin): 54%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.584%16%94%
16.574%26%88%
17.564%36%80%
18.554%46%71%
19.544%56%63%
20.537%63%54%
21.532%68%49%

Sample: 1,381 matches

Games handicap

Ugo Blanchet −5.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 18.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Ugo BlanchetNicolas Tepmahc
3Aces0
1Double faults1
48%First serves in58%
71%First-serve points won50%
73%Second-serve points won44%
4/5Break points converted0/1
8/8Service games held3/7
72%Service points won47%
53%Return points won28%
56Total points won32

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

U. BlanchetTourN. Tepmahc
Service points won64%62%60%
Return points won35%38%40%
Service games held80%76%72%
Breaks of serve18%24%26%
Aces per service game0.460.24
Double faults per game0.230.16
Sets with a tie-break22%8%
Tie-breaks won11/250/1
Wins in straight sets55%100%
Matches in the sample495

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ugo Blanchet

Nicolas Tepmahc

  • 06/09/26LOskari Paldanius#787Challenger Cassis · Q16:3 1:6 1:2
  • 17/08/26LFilip Peliwo#661Challenger Roehampton · Q24:6 6:2 6:7
  • 16/08/26WRhys LawlorChallenger Roehampton · Q16:4 6:2
  • 19/07/26LSergio Callejon Hernando#522Challenger Segovia · Q15:7 1:6
  • 12/07/26LPavel Lagutin#410Challenger Pozoblanco · Q13:6 6:2 3:6
  • 07/09/25LKenny De Schepper#966Challenger Rennes · Q15:7 1:6
  • 02/09/25LMaxime Janvier#640Challenger Cassis · Q24:6 6:1 0:6
  • 31/08/25WNikolay Vylegzhanin#988Challenger Cassis · Q16:2 6:4
  • 01/05/23LDan Added#391Challenger Aix En Provence · Q12:6 0:6
  • 10/10/22LClement Tabur#160Challenger Saint Tropez · Q14:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Ugo BlanchetNicolas Tepmahc

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

U. BlanchetN. Tepmahc
Hard court17–1947%1–420%
Clay3–827%0–0
Grass0–20%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.