ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets

Borges vs Diaz Acosta 2:0: result and our tips

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Nuno BorgesATP #51Elo 1973hard 1935
2:0final7:6(5) 6:2
Facundo Diaz AcostaATP #69Elo 1936hard 1766

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nuno Borges76%
Facundo Diaz Acosta24%

Elo: N. Borges 73% · F. Diaz Acosta 27%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Borges53%
2:1 N. Borges22%
2:1 F. Diaz Acosta12%
2:0 F. Diaz Acosta13%

First set

Nuno Borges70%
Facundo Diaz Acosta30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.576%24%76%
19.568%32%67%
20.560%40%59%
21.553%47%54%
22.546%54%45%
23.540%60%39%
24.537%63%38%

Sample: 3,579 matches

Games handicap

Nuno Borges −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Nuno BorgesFacundo Diaz Acosta
9Aces2
1Double faults0
73%First serves in66%
76%First-serve points won60%
55%Second-serve points won64%
2/3Break points converted0/5
10/10Service games held8/10
70%Service points won61%
39%Return points won30%
76Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. BorgesTourF. Diaz Acosta
Service points won66%62%63%
Return points won35%38%43%
Service games held84%76%77%
Breaks of serve18%24%34%
Aces per service game0.530.25
Double faults per game0.170.18
Sets with a tie-break22%16%
Tie-breaks won12/3216/29
Wins in straight sets69%63%
Matches in the sample5877

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nuno Borges

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Elo over the last year

Nuno BorgesFacundo Diaz Acosta

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. BorgesF. Diaz Acosta
Hard court15–1648%3–443%
Clay9–950%51–1874%
Grass5–456%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.