Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Boscardin Dias vs Mena 0:2: result and our tips

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Pedro Boscardin DiasATP #242Elo 1654clay 1654
0:2final5:7 4:6
Facundo MenaATP #197Elo 1743clay 1761

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Boscardin Dias 15 of 20, Mena 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Boscardin Dias 15 of 20, Mena 15 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Long shot
1st Set Winner: MenaWon49%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mena: 7 matches in a row winning the first set; Boscardin Dias lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Mena won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pedro Boscardin Dias50%
Facundo Mena50%

Elo: P. Boscardin Dias 35% · F. Mena 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Boscardin Dias30%
2:1 P. Boscardin Dias20%
2:1 F. Mena20%
2:0 F. Mena31%

First set

Pedro Boscardin Dias50%
Facundo Mena50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%29%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,290 matches

Games handicap

Facundo Mena −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Pedro Boscardin DiasFacundo Mena
1Aces5
4Double faults2
64%First serves in43%
63%First-serve points won76%
39%Second-serve points won58%
2/5Break points converted4/9
7/11Service games held9/11
54%Service points won66%
34%Return points won46%
62Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. Boscardin DiasTourF. Mena
Service points won58%62%63%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held68%76%80%
Breaks of serve29%24%26%
Aces per service game0.270.61
Double faults per game0.270.28
Sets with a tie-break14%16%
Tie-breaks won12/199/22
Wins in straight sets60%72%
Matches in the sample6059

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Facundo Mena

Elo over the last year

Pedro Boscardin DiasFacundo Mena

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. Boscardin DiasF. Mena
Hard court0–10%4–544%
Clay30–2852%32–1864%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

P. Boscardin Dias 0–2 F. Mena

  • 26/09/26Winner: Facundo Mena5:7 0:6
  • 12/09/23Winner: Facundo Mena4:6 4:6