Bouzková vs Chwalińska: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Bouzkova 15 of 20, Chwalinska 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: M. Bouzková 61% · M. Chwalińska 39%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 53% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 2,134 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Bouzková | Tour | M. Chwalińska | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 50% |
| Service games held | 70% | 63% | 65% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 37% | 50% |
| Aces per service game | 0.17 | 0.08 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/19 | 7/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 83% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marie Bouzková
- 12/10/26WClara Tauson#53WTA Wuhan · R646:1 2:0
- 05/10/26LQinwen Zheng#23WTA Beijing · R326:7 6:4 5:7
- 03/10/26WKimberly Birrell#40WTA Beijing · R646:4 6:4
- 05/09/26LIga Świątek#9WTA US Open · R326:7 6:7
- 03/09/26WHarriet Dart#113WTA US Open · R646:2 6:2
- 31/08/26WElsa Jacquemot#158WTA US Open · R1286:2 6:2
- 19/08/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Cincinnati · R163:6 2:6
- 19/08/26WIva Jovic#11WTA Cincinnati · R327:6 7:6
- 16/08/26WLucrezia Stefanini#106WTA Cincinnati · R646:2 6:4
- 05/08/26LTaylor Townsend#89WTA Toronto · R646:7 5:7
Maja Chwalińska
- 13/10/26WMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:2
- 02/10/26LDayana Yastremska#103WTA Beijing · R643:6 1:6
- 26/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#25WTA Singapore · SF6:1 4:6 2:6
- 25/09/26WElise Mertens#14WTA Singapore · QF6:2 6:2
- 23/09/26WOleksandra Oliynykova#51WTA Singapore · R166:0 6:1
- 21/09/26WRebecca Sramkova#134WTA Singapore · R326:4 6:2
- 31/08/26LTaylor Townsend#89WTA US Open · R1282:6 3:6
- 27/08/26LAlycia Parks#64WTA Monterrey · R166:3 2:6 2:6
- 17/08/26LDiana Shnaider#13WTA Cincinnati · R322:6 6:7
- 15/08/26WCristina Bucsa#38WTA Cincinnati · R646:2 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Bouzková | M. Chwalińska | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1648% | 15–1060% |
| Clay | 9–469% | 21–872% |
| Grass | 9–282% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Marie Bouzková
- 12/10/26WClara Tauson#53WTA Wuhan · R646:1 2:0
Maja Chwalińska
- 13/10/26WMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:2