Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Brancaccio vs Hemery 2:0: result and our tips

·

Raul BrancaccioATP #230Elo 1592clay 1585
2:0final6:1 6:4
Calvin HemeryATP #276Elo 1677clay 1689

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Brancaccio 15 of 20, Hemery 14 of 20 (tour average 52%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hemery: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games; Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Brancaccio 8 of 20, Hemery 10 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Raul Brancaccio45%
Calvin Hemery55%

Elo: R. Brancaccio 35% · C. Hemery 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Brancaccio26%
2:1 R. Brancaccio19%
2:1 C. Hemery20%
2:0 C. Hemery35%

First set

Raul Brancaccio46%
Calvin Hemery54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.551%49%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,621 matches

Games handicap

Calvin Hemery −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Raul BrancaccioCalvin Hemery
3Aces0
5Double faults3
71%First serves in66%
71%First-serve points won56%
43%Second-serve points won37%
4/9Break points converted1/9
8/9Service games held4/8
63%Service points won49%
51%Return points won38%
73Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. BrancaccioTourC. Hemery
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held73%76%80%
Breaks of serve25%24%22%
Aces per service game0.240.49
Double faults per game0.260.29
Sets with a tie-break14%17%
Tie-breaks won8/1912/22
Wins in straight sets50%52%
Matches in the sample5754

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Raul Brancaccio

Calvin Hemery

Elo over the last year

Raul BrancaccioCalvin Hemery

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. BrancaccioC. Hemery
Hard court4–544%11–1150%
Clay22–2547%18–1456%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

R. Brancaccio 1–0 C. Hemery

  • 03/02/26Winner: Raul Brancaccio6:4 7:6