Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Brooksby vs Krueger 2:1: result and our tips

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Jenson BrooksbyATP #99Elo 1879hard 1856
2:1final3:6 6:3 6:2
Mitchell KruegerATP #349Elo 1640hard 1635

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jenson Brooksby89%
Mitchell Krueger11%

Elo: J. Brooksby 78% · M. Krueger 22%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Brooksby70%
2:1 J. Brooksby18%
2:1 M. Krueger6%
2:0 M. Krueger6%

First set

Jenson Brooksby81%
Mitchell Krueger19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.580%20%88%
17.569%31%80%
18.560%41%71%
19.550%50%62%
20.542%58%54%
21.537%63%49%
22.530%70%42%

Sample: 1,668 matches

Games handicap

Jenson Brooksby −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jenson BrooksbyMitchell Krueger
3Aces1
4Double faults1
58%First serves in60%
78%First-serve points won66%
69%Second-serve points won51%
3/8Break points converted1/3
12/13Service games held10/13
74%Service points won60%
40%Return points won26%
88Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. BrooksbyTourM. Krueger
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held75%76%78%
Breaks of serve20%24%23%
Aces per service game0.290.33
Double faults per game0.120.18
Sets with a tie-break9%23%
Tie-breaks won3/97/24
Wins in straight sets88%45%
Matches in the sample4244

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jenson Brooksby

Mitchell Krueger

  • 03/10/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#306Challenger Columbus · SF2:6 2:6
  • 02/10/26WKeegan Smith#196Challenger Columbus · QF6:4 7:6
  • 01/10/26WStefan Kozlov#278Challenger Columbus · R166:2 3:6 6:3
  • 28/09/26WTyler Zink#436Challenger Columbus · R327:6 6:3
  • 22/09/26LSebastian Gorzny#406Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:4 5:7 5:7
  • 18/09/26LMichael Zheng#101Challenger Tiburon · QF6:7 2:6
  • 17/09/26WRyan Seggerman#565Challenger Tiburon · R164:6 6:1 7:6
  • 15/09/26WKeegan Smith#196Challenger Tiburon · R327:6 6:7 6:4
  • 25/08/26LMario Gonzalez Fernandez#699Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:7 5:7
  • 15/07/26LMark Lajal#150Challenger Lincoln · R162:6 1:3

Elo over the last year

Jenson BrooksbyMitchell Krueger

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. BrooksbyM. Krueger
Hard court12–1643%16–1847%
Clay0–60%4–640%
Grass4–450%0–0

Head to head

J. Brooksby 1–0 M. Krueger

  • 25/01/22Winner: Jenson Brooksby2:6 6:3 7:5