Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Broska vs Neumayer 1:2: result and our tips

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Florian BroskaATP #334Elo 1626clay 1612
1:2final6:4 3:6 2:6
Lukas NeumayerATP #180Elo 1768clay 1772

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Broska 17 of 20, Neumayer 12 of 20 (tour average 59%); Broska: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: NeumayerWon77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Neumayer won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Won47%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Broska 12 of 20, Neumayer 11 of 20 (tour average 47%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Florian Broska23%
Lukas Neumayer77%

Elo: F. Broska 28% · L. Neumayer 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Broska12%
2:1 F. Broska11%
2:1 L. Neumayer23%
2:0 L. Neumayer54%

First set

Florian Broska30%
Lukas Neumayer70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%76%
18.569%31%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 2,782 matches

Games handicap

Lukas Neumayer −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 27 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Florian BroskaLukas Neumayer
8Aces4
5Double faults4
58%First serves in60%
65%First-serve points won75%
53%Second-serve points won57%
1/6Break points converted3/16
10/13Service games held13/14
60%Service points won67%
33%Return points won40%
84Total points won98

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. BroskaTourL. Neumayer
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held80%76%77%
Breaks of serve22%24%30%
Aces per service game0.370.26
Double faults per game0.200.19
Sets with a tie-break24%14%
Tie-breaks won8/1610/21
Wins in straight sets40%68%
Matches in the sample2764

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Florian Broska

Lukas Neumayer

Elo over the last year

Florian BroskaLukas Neumayer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. BroskaL. Neumayer
Hard court5–645%7–847%
Clay10–663%31–1765%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

F. Broska 1–0 L. Neumayer

  • 16/06/26Winner: Florian Broska3:6 6:1 6:4

See also