Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Brunold vs Domenc 2:0: result and our tips

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Mika BrunoldATP #261Elo 1781hard 1728
2:0final7:6(2) 6:3
Mathys DomencElo 1514hard 1511

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mika Brunold87%
Mathys Domenc13%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Brunold67%
2:1 M. Brunold19%
2:1 M. Domenc6%
2:0 M. Domenc7%

First set

Mika Brunold79%
Mathys Domenc21%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes25%
no75%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.580%20%88%
17.570%30%79%
18.561%40%71%
19.551%49%62%
20.543%57%54%
21.538%62%49%
22.531%69%42%

Sample: 1,859 matches

Games handicap

Mika Brunold −5.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mika BrunoldMathys Domenc
2Aces3
3Double faults3
61%First serves in55%
75%First-serve points won64%
54%Second-serve points won39%
3/10Break points converted2/8
9/11Service games held7/10
67%Service points won53%
48%Return points won33%
86Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BrunoldTourM. Domenc
Service points won63%62%—
Return points won40%38%—
Service games held78%76%—
Breaks of serve28%24%—
Aces per service game0.26—
Double faults per game0.20—
Sets with a tie-break16%—
Tie-breaks won10/16—
Wins in straight sets63%—
Matches in the sample42—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mika Brunold

Mathys Domenc

Elo over the last year

Mika BrunoldMathys Domenc

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BrunoldM. Domenc
Hard court3–443%1–150%
Clay24–1169%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.