WTA 125 LisbonRound of 32claybest of three sets

Burel vs Gjorcheska 2:0: result and our tips

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Clara BurelWTA #214Elo 1764clay 1755
2:0final6:1 6:3
Lina GjorcheskaWTA #361Elo 1412clay 1378

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 16.5Lost63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Burel: 10 matches in a row over 16.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Clara Burel90%
Lina Gjorcheska10%

Elo: C. Burel 90% · L. Gjorcheska 10%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Burel74%
2:1 C. Burel16%
2:1 L. Gjorcheska5%
2:0 L. Gjorcheska6%

First set

Clara Burel84%
Lina Gjorcheska16%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 57%market (no margin): 52%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.588%12%93%
15.576%25%86%
16.563%37%78%
17.553%48%68%
18.543%57%60%
19.537%64%52%
20.530%70%46%

Sample: 618 matches

Games handicap

Clara Burel −6.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Clara BurelLina Gjorcheska
—Aces—
3Double faults5
69%First serves in71%
58%First-serve points won34%
47%Second-serve points won29%
7/7Break points converted3/7
5/8Service games held1/8
55%Service points won33%
67%Return points won46%
63Total points won41

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. BurelTourL. Gjorcheska
Service points won54%56%55%
Return points won49%44%44%
Service games held61%63%59%
Breaks of serve49%37%39%
Aces per service game0.160.26
Double faults per game0.290.71
Sets with a tie-break9%6%
Tie-breaks won1/41/3
Wins in straight sets73%75%
Matches in the sample1921

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Clara Burel

Lina Gjorcheska

  • 21/09/26LKsenia Zaytseva#369WTA 125 Ankara · R327:5 3:6 4:6
  • 14/09/26LMiriam Bianca Bulgaru#350WTA 125 Ljubljana · R324:6 6:1 2:6
  • 09/09/26LAurora Zantedeschi#292WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R166:4 3:6 1:6
  • 07/09/26WMia Ristic#183WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R326:1 6:3
  • 24/08/26LMai Hontama#164WTA US Open · Q16:7 3:6
  • 20/07/26LErika Andreeva#181WTA 125 Palermo · R322:6 0:6
  • 13/07/26LDeborah Chiesa#345WTA 125 Rome · R327:6 3:6 3:6
  • 30/06/26LAmanda Anisimova#17WTA Wimbledon · R1283:6 2:6
  • 25/06/26WLucia Bronzetti#135WTA Wimbledon · Q36:1 6:2
  • 24/06/26WFrancisca Jorge#209WTA Wimbledon · Q25:7 6:2 6:1

Elo over the last year

Clara BurelLina Gjorcheska

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. BurelL. Gjorcheska
Hard court1–150%2–433%
Clay10–759%3–827%
Grass0–03–175%

Head to head

They have not met yet.