Butvilas vs Rehberg 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Butvilas won the first set in 16 of the last 20 matches, Rehberg lost the first set in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 32%
Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Butvilas 9 of 20, Rehberg 9 of 20 (tour average 27%); Rehberg: 3 matches in a row over 26.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: E. Butvilas 56% · M. Rehberg 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,525 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 29 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Edas Butvilas | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 1 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 63% | First serves in | 65% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 45% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 4/4 |
| 11/15 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 63% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 37% |
| 81 | Total points won | 79 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Butvilas | Tour | M. Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.45 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/24 | 6/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 78% | |
| Matches in the sample | 72 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Edas Butvilas
- 02/10/26LJerome Kym#249Challenger Porto 2 · QF7:6 3:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WMoez Echargui#356Challenger Porto 2 · R166:1 7:5
- 30/09/26WMichael Geerts#345Challenger Porto 2 · R326:4 6:1
- 24/09/26LHarold Mayot#186Challenger Saint Tropez · R164:6 3:6
- 22/09/26WGrigor Dimitrov#127Challenger Saint Tropez · R327:6 6:3
- 11/09/26LMax Basing#248Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF3:6 4:6
- 10/09/26WMiguel Tobon#506Challenger Istanbul 3 · R167:6 6:1
- 08/09/26WGabriel Ghetu#570Challenger Istanbul 3 · R327:5 6:2
- 04/09/26LLuca Potenza#528Challenger Manacor · QF6:4 5:7 6:7
- 03/09/26WRemy Bertola#227Challenger Manacor · R166:3 6:7 6:3
Max Hans Rehberg
- 05/10/26WMili Poljicak#286Challenger Villena · Q25:7 6:3 6:3
- 04/10/26WDaniel CukiermanChallenger Villena · Q16:7 6:3 6:3
- 08/09/26LThiago Monteiro#235Challenger Tulln · R327:6 3:6 6:7
- 25/08/26LFacundo Mena#197Challenger Augsburg · R324:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LFilip Cristian Jianu#289Challenger Prague · QF3:6 4:6
- 19/08/26WKimmer Coppejans#232Challenger Prague · R166:4 6:1
- 18/08/26WJakub Nicod#775Challenger Prague · R325:3
- 13/08/26LSaba Purtseladze#581Challenger Hamburg · R161:6 7:5 5:7
- 11/08/26WDiego Dedura#190Challenger Hamburg · R326:1 6:4
- 30/07/26LDaniel Elahi Galan#383Challenger Bonn · R166:4 6:7 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Butvilas | M. Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–1861% | 10–377% |
| Clay | 12–1250% | 17–1652% |
| Grass | 0–20% | 0–0 |
Head to head
E. Butvilas 1–0 M. Rehberg
- 01/05/26Winner: Edas Butvilas7:5 2:6 6:3
Road through the tournament
Edas Butvilas
First match in this tournament.
Max Hans Rehberg
- 04/10/26WDaniel CukiermanChallenger Villena · Q16:7 6:3 6:3
- 05/10/26WMili Poljicak#286Challenger Villena · Q25:7 6:3 6:3