Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets
Cadenasso vs Moroni 2:1: result and our tips
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2:1final3:6 6:4 6:3
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso75%
Filippo Moroni25%
Elo: G. Cadenasso 67% · F. Moroni 33%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 G. Cadenasso51%
2:1 G. Cadenasso23%
2:1 F. Moroni12%
2:0 F. Moroni14%
First set
Gianluca Cadenasso68%
Filippo Moroni32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 70% | 30% | 77% |
| 18.5 | 61% | 39% | 69% |
| 19.5 | 53% | 47% | 60% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 53% |
| 21.5 | 41% | 59% | 48% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 41% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 65% | 37% |
Sample: 3,138 matches
Games handicap
Gianluca Cadenasso −4.546%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes19%
tour average 28%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 20.0in · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 1 |
| 5 | Double faults | 1 |
| 48% | First serves in | 70% |
| 64% | First-serve points won | 54% |
| 57% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 5/15 | Break points converted | 4/10 |
| 10/14 | Service games held | 9/14 |
| 60% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 40% |
| 100 | Total points won | 87 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Cadenasso | Tour | F. Moroni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.20 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/7 | 3/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 20% | |
| Matches in the sample | 38 | 8 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 02/10/26LVitaliy Sachko#172Challenger Bari · QF6:4 2:6 0:3
- 30/09/26WLorenzo Angelini#556Challenger Bari · R165:7 6:3 6:0
- 29/09/26WBenito Sanchez Martinez#906Challenger Bari · R326:3 6:1
- 22/09/26LM. W. Donald#418Challenger Genoa 2 · R323:6 6:4 5:7
- 15/09/26LFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Biella · R321:6 5:7
- 22/06/26LFederico Cina#147ATP Wimbledon · Q13:6 2:6
- 01/06/26LDaniel Merida#44Challenger Perugia · R322:6
- 20/05/26LLeandro Riedi#250ATP French Open · Q37:6 4:6 5:7
- 19/05/26WLiam Broady#213ATP French Open · Q17:5 6:4
- 07/05/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#54ATP Rome · R1287:6 4:6 0:6
Filippo Moroni
- 05/10/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#650Challenger Palermo · Q27:6 5:7 7:6
- 04/10/26WAlex Marti Pujolras#499Challenger Palermo · Q17:6 6:7 6:1
- 28/09/26LFabrizio Andaloro#520Challenger Bari · Q26:7 6:1 3:6
- 27/09/26WGianmarco Ferrari#516Challenger Bari · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
- 29/03/26LManas Dhamne#402Challenger Barletta · Q11:6 3:6
- 18/11/25LLorenzo Giustino#216Challenger Montemar · R324:6 1:6
- 17/11/25WFederico Bondioli#333Challenger Montemar · Q24:6 6:0 7:5
- 16/11/25WDiego Augusto Barreto SanchezChallenger Montemar · Q16:1 6:1
- 07/09/25LPatrick Brady#715Challenger Rennes · Q14:6 5:7
- 03/09/25LBilly Harris#241Challenger Cassis · R327:6 3:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Gianluca CadenassoFilippo Moroni
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Cadenasso | F. Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 20–1754% | 5–363% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Gianluca Cadenasso
First match in this tournament.
Filippo Moroni
- 04/10/26WAlex Marti Pujolras#499Challenger Palermo · Q17:6 6:7 6:1
- 05/10/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#650Challenger Palermo · Q27:6 5:7 7:6