Casanova vs Bueno 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Casanova 16 of 20, Bueno 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 44%
Casanova: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: H. Casanova 35% · G. Bueno 65%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 71% | 29% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
Sample: 4,605 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Hernan Casanova | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 2 |
| 0 | Double faults | 6 |
| 82% | First serves in | 55% |
| 59% | First-serve points won | 65% |
| 40% | Second-serve points won | 55% |
| 3/6 | Break points converted | 4/15 |
| 8/12 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 56% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 44% |
| 82 | Total points won | 91 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Casanova | Tour | G. Bueno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 57% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.10 | 0.13 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.11 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 7% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/6 | 8/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hernan Casanova
- 13/10/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#253Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 12/10/26WWilson Leite#689Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q26:2 6:4
- 11/10/26WAlexandre BobiereChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:0 6:0
- 05/10/26LBernardo Munk MesaChallenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 6:2 4:6
- 04/10/26WWilson Leite#689Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 3:6 6:4
- 29/09/26LGustavo Heide#114Challenger Curitiba · R322:6 1:6
- 22/09/26LMurkel Dellien#444Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 04/08/26LYannick Theodor Alexandrescou#821Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:7 3:6
- 10/07/26LNicolas Mejia#115Challenger Bogota · QF3:6 2:6
- 09/07/26WLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#332Challenger Bogota · R167:6 6:2
Gonzalo Bueno
- 13/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#509Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R321:6 3:6
- 08/09/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#325Challenger Seville · R320:6 6:4 6:4
- 02/09/26LMax Schoenhaus#302Challenger Como · R161:6 3:6
- 31/08/26WJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#188Challenger Como · R326:2 7:5
- 24/08/26LBilly Harris#249ATP US Open · Q11:6 3:6
- 20/08/26LValentin Royer#110Challenger Kingston · QF1:6 1:6
- 19/08/26WEdward Winter#401Challenger Kingston · R166:4 6:2
- 18/08/26WBenjamin Willwerth#848Challenger Kingston · R323:6 6:2 6:2
- 02/08/26LJan Kumstat#192Challenger Liberec · F3:6 1:6
- 01/08/26WNorbert Gombos#362Challenger Liberec · SF6:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Casanova | G. Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 3–350% |
| Clay | 21–1657% | 34–2657% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
H. Casanova 0–2 G. Bueno
- 10/04/26Winner: Gonzalo Bueno6:3 2:6 6:7
- 26/06/25Winner: Gonzalo Bueno2:6 0:2