Casanova vs Leite 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Casanova won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Leite lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 47%
Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Casanova 7 of 20, Leite 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: H. Casanova 76% · W. Leite 24%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 70% | 30% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 61% | 40% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 53% | 47% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 41% | 59% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 36% |
Sample: 2,999 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 19.5out · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Hernan Casanova | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 4 |
| 1 | Double faults | 4 |
| 75% | First serves in | 59% |
| 62% | First-serve points won | 57% |
| 69% | Second-serve points won | 38% |
| 5/16 | Break points converted | 2/3 |
| 7/9 | Service games held | 4/9 |
| 64% | Service points won | 49% |
| 51% | Return points won | 37% |
| 69 | Total points won | 54 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Casanova | Tour | W. Leite | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.10 | 0.16 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.11 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/6 | 4/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 30 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hernan Casanova
- 11/10/26WAlexandre BobiereChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:0 6:0
- 05/10/26LBernardo Munk MesaChallenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 6:2 4:6
- 04/10/26WWilson Leite#689Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 3:6 6:4
- 29/09/26LGustavo Heide#116Challenger Curitiba · R322:6 1:6
- 22/09/26LMurkel Dellien#407Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 04/08/26LYannick Theodor Alexandrescou#797Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:7 3:6
- 10/07/26LNicolas Mejia#119Challenger Bogota · QF3:6 2:6
- 09/07/26WLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#329Challenger Bogota · R167:6 6:2
- 07/07/26WIgnacio Monzon#569Challenger Bogota · R327:5 7:5
- 05/07/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#255Challenger Quito · F7:5 3:6 2:6
Wilson Leite
- 11/10/26WLuis BrittoChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:1 6:2
- 04/10/26LHernan Casanova#411Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 4:6
- 29/09/26LBruno Fernandez#567Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 6:1 2:6
- 28/09/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Curitiba · Q21:6 6:7
- 27/09/26WJustin Roberts#970Challenger Curitiba · Q16:2 6:4
- 26/06/26LNick Hardt#281Challenger Piracicaba · R163:6 1:6
- 25/06/26WFilipe BullamahChallenger Piracicaba · R326:0 6:3
- 22/06/26WRafael Tosetto#863Challenger Piracicaba · Q26:3 4:6 7:6
- 21/06/26WEnzo Camargo LimaChallenger Piracicaba · Q16:2 6:2
- 14/06/26LEzequiel Monferrer#999Challenger Asuncion 2 · Q16:2 6:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Casanova | W. Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 1–150% |
| Clay | 20–1557% | 13–1546% |
Head to head
H. Casanova 1–0 W. Leite
- 04/10/26Winner: Hernan Casanova6:3 3:6 6:4
Road through the tournament
Hernan Casanova
- 11/10/26WAlexandre BobiereChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:0 6:0
Wilson Leite
- 11/10/26WLuis BrittoChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:1 6:2