Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Cecchinato vs Wallin 0:2: result and our tips

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Marco CecchinatoATP #163Elo 1767clay 1764
0:2final6:7(4) 0:6
Olle WallinATP #423Elo 1679clay 1696

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Wallin: 12 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Cecchinato 12 of 20, Wallin 18 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: CecchinatoLost64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Cecchinato won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Wallin lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Marco Cecchinato69%
Olle Wallin31%

Elo: M. Cecchinato 60% · O. Wallin 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Cecchinato46%
2:1 M. Cecchinato23%
2:1 O. Wallin14%
2:0 O. Wallin17%

First set

Marco Cecchinato64%
Olle Wallin36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.551%50%47%
22.544%56%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.537%64%34%

Sample: 4,029 matches

Games handicap

Marco Cecchinato −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Marco CecchinatoOlle Wallin
5Aces8
5Double faults4
61%First serves in60%
57%First-serve points won71%
41%Second-serve points won47%
2/10Break points converted5/10
4/9Service games held7/9
51%Service points won61%
39%Return points won49%
64Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. CecchinatoTourO. Wallin
Service points won64%62%61%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held79%76%76%
Breaks of serve26%24%27%
Aces per service game0.250.43
Double faults per game0.190.21
Sets with a tie-break18%10%
Tie-breaks won16/314/8
Wins in straight sets71%50%
Matches in the sample7535

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marco Cecchinato

Olle Wallin

  • 05/10/26WTiago Cacao#649Challenger Braga · Q27:5 7:6
  • 04/10/26WPedro Rodenas#633Challenger Braga · Q11:6 6:2 7:5
  • 29/09/26LM. W. Donald#418Challenger Bari · R323:6 5:7
  • 08/09/26LZdenek Kolar#196Challenger Tulln · R323:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26WNorbert Gombos#355Challenger Tulln · Q27:6 6:4
  • 06/09/26WMatthias UjvaryChallenger Tulln · Q17:5 6:2
  • 01/09/26LJohan Nikles#399Challenger Como · R324:6 6:3 4:6
  • 31/08/26WAndrea Colombo#853Challenger Como · Q23:6 6:1 7:6
  • 30/08/26WNiccolo CatiniChallenger Como · Q14:6 6:0 6:3
  • 11/08/26LCarlos Taberner#361Challenger Hamburg · R327:5 2:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Marco CecchinatoOlle Wallin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. CecchinatoO. Wallin
Hard court1–233%0–50%
Clay44–2762%20–1067%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Marco Cecchinato

First match in this tournament.

Olle Wallin