Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Cerny vs Ursu 1:1: result and our tips

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M. CernyATP #705Elo 1423hard 1449
1:1retired6:7(4) 6:3 0:1
Vadym UrsuATP #405Elo 1425hard 1423

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Ursu71%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Cerny lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

M. Cerny29%
Vadym Ursu71%

Elo: M. Cerny 54% · V. Ursu 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Cerny17%
2:1 M. Cerny13%
2:1 V. Ursu22%
2:0 V. Ursu48%

First set

M. Cerny34%
Vadym Ursu66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%79%
18.566%34%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.552%48%54%
21.546%54%49%
22.540%61%42%
23.537%63%37%

Sample: 4,490 matches

Games handicap

Vadym Ursu −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

M. CernyVadym Ursu
2Aces2
0Double faults4
61%First serves in60%
66%First-serve points won71%
60%Second-serve points won47%
2/2Break points converted1/5
10/11Service games held9/11
63%Service points won61%
39%Return points won37%
89Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. CernyTourV. Ursu
Service points won60%62%58%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held71%76%69%
Breaks of serve31%24%27%
Aces per service game0.210.33
Double faults per game0.180.44
Sets with a tie-break11%15%
Tie-breaks won0/54/10
Wins in straight sets63%56%
Matches in the sample2027

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

M. Cerny

  • 05/10/26LDimitris Sakellaridis#559Challenger Palermo · Q26:3 1:6 6:7
  • 04/10/26WFabrizio Andaloro#520Challenger Palermo · Q16:4 6:1
  • 14/09/26LJohan Nikles#399Challenger Szczecin · Q23:6 2:6
  • 13/09/26WFilip Misolic#471Challenger Szczecin · Q14:6 7:5 6:4
  • 17/08/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#326Challenger Prague · Q22:6 3:6
  • 16/08/26WDusan Obradovic#461Challenger Prague · Q16:2 6:2
  • 28/07/26LNorbert Gombos#355Challenger Liberec · R321:6 6:4 2:6
  • 05/07/26LIgnacio CarouChallenger Trieste · Q16:1 3:6 2:6
  • 14/06/26LAlexander Weis#624Challenger Parma · Q16:7 4:6
  • 31/05/26LDurasovic#465Challenger Prostejov · Q14:6 6:7

Vadym Ursu

Elo over the last year

M. CernyVadym Ursu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. CernyV. Ursu
Hard court1–150%9–1538%
Clay7–1139%0–20%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.