WTA BeijingWTA 1000Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Charaeva vs Zheng 1:2: result and our tips

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Alina CharaevaWTA #98Elo 1841hard 1809
1:2final1:6 6:2 4:6
Qinwen ZhengWTA #23Elo 2007hard 2020

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Charaeva 14 of 20, Zheng 18 of 20 (tour average 63%); Zheng: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: ZhengWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Charaeva lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Zheng won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Zheng: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

  • Match Winner: ZhengWon79%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Zheng won 9 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won30%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Charaeva 11 of 20, Zheng 11 of 20 (tour average 32%); Zheng: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alina Charaeva23%
Qinwen Zheng77%

Elo: A. Charaeva 23% · Q. Zheng 77%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Charaeva13%
2:1 A. Charaeva12%
2:1 Q. Zheng21%
2:0 Q. Zheng54%

First set

Alina Charaeva30%
Qinwen Zheng70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%72%
18.564%37%63%
19.556%44%55%
20.548%52%49%
21.544%56%44%
22.537%63%38%
23.534%67%34%

Sample: 1,576 matches

Games handicap

Qinwen Zheng −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Alina CharaevaQinwen Zheng
1Aces7
3Double faults4
59%First serves in49%
65%First-serve points won77%
42%Second-serve points won46%
3/8Break points converted5/9
8/13Service games held9/12
56%Service points won61%
39%Return points won44%
73Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. CharaevaTourQ. Zheng
Service points won57%56%62%
Return points won44%44%40%
Service games held68%63%76%
Breaks of serve36%37%26%
Aces per service game0.290.66
Double faults per game0.430.40
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won11/216/9
Wins in straight sets61%33%
Matches in the sample6635

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alina Charaeva

Qinwen Zheng

Elo over the last year

Alina CharaevaQinwen Zheng

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. CharaevaQ. Zheng
Hard court17–1455%16–770%
Clay17–1161%3–350%
Grass4–357%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alina Charaeva

Qinwen Zheng

See also