ATP Brussels250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Chidekh vs Bailly 2:0: result and our tips

·

Clement ChidekhATP #152Elo 1797hard 1797
2:0final6:1 6:3
Gilles Arnaud BaillyATP #408Elo 1563hard 1545

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon73%

Where the number comes from: market alone 69% → with the players' profiles 73%

No tie-break in recent matches: Chidekh 15 of 20, Bailly 18 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Chidekh 2-0Won65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Chidekh won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Bailly lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 32%)

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won67%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 67%

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Chidekh 13 of 20, Bailly 12 of 20 (tour average 55%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 36%

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Chidekh 8 of 20, Bailly 6 of 20 (tour average 25%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Clement Chidekh85%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly15%

Elo: C. Chidekh 81% · G. Bailly 19%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Chidekh65%
2:1 C. Chidekh20%
2:1 G. Bailly7%
2:0 G. Bailly9%

First set

Clement Chidekh77%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly23%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%83%
18.564%36%75%
19.554%46%67%
20.547%53%59%
21.539%61%53%
22.533%67%45%
23.530%71%39%

Sample: 2,093 matches

Games handicap

Clement Chidekh −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 37%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Clement ChidekhGilles Arnaud Bailly
1Aces0
1Double faults2
73%First serves in58%
87%First-serve points won57%
64%Second-serve points won35%
4/5Break points converted0/0
8/8Service games held4/8
81%Service points won48%
52%Return points won20%
58Total points won31

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. ChidekhTourG. Bailly
Service points won63%62%58%
Return points won42%38%39%
Service games held78%76%67%
Breaks of serve30%24%26%
Aces per service game0.280.15
Double faults per game0.250.22
Sets with a tie-break14%7%
Tie-breaks won12/214/6
Wins in straight sets66%58%
Matches in the sample6537

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Clement Chidekh

  • 14/10/26LJerome Kym#223Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:7
  • 04/10/26WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · F6:2 6:0
  • 03/10/26WHenry Bernet#364Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · SF6:2 6:4
  • 02/10/26WHarold Mayot#202Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF3:6 6:2 2:0
  • 01/10/26WUgo Blanchet#344Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R166:4 3:6 6:2
  • 29/09/26WDavid Goffin#657Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:1 6:0
  • 18/09/26LHarold Mayot#202Challenger Rennes · QF4:6 4:6
  • 16/09/26WLucas Poullain#318Challenger Rennes · R166:3 6:4
  • 15/09/26WFinn BassChallenger Rennes · R327:5 6:4
  • 26/08/26LArthur Gea#44ATP US Open · Q24:6 7:6 2:6

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Elo over the last year

Clement ChidekhGilles Arnaud Bailly

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. ChidekhG. Bailly
Hard court34–1668%3–827%
Clay1–325%9–1636%
Grass6–555%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.