Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Clarke vs Piraino 0:2: result and our tips

·

Jay ClarkeATP #240Elo 1694clay 1681
0:2final3:6 1:6
Gabriele PirainoATP #392Elo 1569clay 1559

Our tips

Our tip
Clarke to winLost65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Clarke won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
A third setLost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Clarke 12 of 20, Piraino 7 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jay Clarke65%
Gabriele Piraino35%

Elo: J. Clarke 67% · G. Piraino 33%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Clarke43%
2:1 J. Clarke23%
2:1 G. Piraino15%
2:0 G. Piraino19%

First set

Jay Clarke62%
Gabriele Piraino38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%59%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 4,474 matches

Games handicap

Jay Clarke −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Jay ClarkeGabriele Piraino
2Aces0
4Double faults2
51%First serves in65%
49%First-serve points won70%
31%Second-serve points won35%
2/6Break points converted6/14
2/8Service games held6/8
40%Service points won58%
42%Return points won60%
50Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. ClarkeTourG. Piraino
Service points won61%62%58%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held76%76%69%
Breaks of serve30%24%31%
Aces per service game0.320.25
Double faults per game0.240.29
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won6/195/8
Wins in straight sets61%69%
Matches in the sample6733

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jay Clarke

Gabriele Piraino

Elo over the last year

Jay ClarkeGabriele Piraino

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. ClarkeG. Piraino
Hard court16–1453%6–650%
Clay17–1553%10–1148%
Grass3–260%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.