WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Cortez Llorca vs Gorgodze 2:0: result and our tips

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Lucia Cortez LlorcaWTA #395Elo 1443clay 1445
2:0final6:4 7:6(3)
Ekaterine GorgodzeWTA #154Elo 1614clay 1601

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Cortez Llorca 4 of 5, Gorgodze 15 of 20 (tour average 52%); Cortez Llorca: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Cortez Llorca 4 of 5, Gorgodze 12 of 20 (tour average 37%); Cortez Llorca: 4 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucia Cortez Llorca33%
Ekaterine Gorgodze67%

Elo: L. Cortez Llorca 29% · E. Gorgodze 71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Cortez Llorca21%
2:1 L. Cortez Llorca16%
2:1 E. Gorgodze22%
2:0 E. Gorgodze40%

First set

Lucia Cortez Llorca43%
Ekaterine Gorgodze57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%45%
21.548%52%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.535%65%31%

Sample: 1,406 matches

Games handicap

Ekaterine Gorgodze −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Lucia Cortez LlorcaEkaterine Gorgodze
5Aces2
7Double faults1
62%First serves in76%
58%First-serve points won47%
48%Second-serve points won58%
6/10Break points converted5/12
6/11Service games held5/11
55%Service points won49%
51%Return points won46%
82Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Cortez LlorcaTourE. Gorgodze
Service points won54%56%53%
Return points won48%44%45%
Service games held59%63%55%
Breaks of serve44%37%40%
Aces per service game0.140.09
Double faults per game0.570.15
Sets with a tie-break14%14%
Tie-breaks won1/214/17
Wins in straight sets50%54%
Matches in the sample550

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucia Cortez Llorca

  • 15/09/26LAlicia Herrero Linana#222WTA 125 Valencia · R326:2 5:7 5:7
  • 01/06/26LViola Turini#503WTA 125 Foggia · Q16:3 2:6 2:6
  • 05/05/26LLaura Pigossi#243WTA 125 Istanbul · R323:6 6:3 3:6
  • 04/05/26WMia Ristic#183WTA 125 Istanbul · Q27:6 6:7 6:4
  • 02/05/26WSude UluerenWTA 125 Istanbul · Q16:0 6:0
  • 08/06/25LEkaterina Kazionova#524WTA 125 Valencia · Q11:6 5:7
  • 12/06/24LMartina Trevisan#301WTA 125 Valencia · R323:6 3:6
  • 09/06/24WDominika Salkova#120WTA 125 Valencia · Q27:5 3:6 6:4
  • 08/06/24WAriana Geerlings Martinez#505WTA 125 Valencia · Q12:6 6:2 6:3
  • 10/06/23LLea Boskovic#334WTA 125 Valencia · Q13:6 1:6

Ekaterine Gorgodze

Elo over the last year

Lucia Cortez LlorcaEkaterine Gorgodze

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Cortez LlorcaE. Gorgodze
Hard court0–06–650%
Clay2–340%17–1849%
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also