WTA 125 SamsunRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Crawley vs Selekhmeteva 2:1: result and our tips

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Fiona CrawleyWTA #208Elo 1714hard 1670
2:1final4:6 6:4 6:4
Oksana SelekhmetevaWTA #100Elo 1678hard 1689

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Selekhmeteva: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Crawley 8 of 15, Selekhmeteva 15 of 20 (tour average 52%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Crawley 6 of 15, Selekhmeteva 10 of 20 (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Fiona Crawley51%
Oksana Selekhmeteva49%

Elo: F. Crawley 47% · O. Selekhmeteva 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Crawley32%
2:1 F. Crawley19%
2:1 O. Selekhmeteva20%
2:0 O. Selekhmeteva29%

First set

Fiona Crawley52%
Oksana Selekhmeteva48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%60%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 2,212 matches

Games handicap

Fiona Crawley −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Fiona CrawleyOksana Selekhmeteva
—Aces—
8Double faults9
62%First serves in71%
60%First-serve points won53%
34%Second-serve points won39%
8/20Break points converted7/11
8/15Service games held7/15
50%Service points won49%
51%Return points won50%
104Total points won101

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. CrawleyTourO. Selekhmeteva
Service points won53%56%55%
Return points won49%44%46%
Service games held57%63%61%
Breaks of serve44%37%39%
Aces per service game0.100.17
Double faults per game0.300.68
Sets with a tie-break8%11%
Tie-breaks won2/36/15
Wins in straight sets56%48%
Matches in the sample1456

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Fiona Crawley

  • 05/10/26WLucia Bronzetti#135WTA 125 Samsun · R326:2 6:4
  • 30/09/26LElena Pridankina#186WTA 125 Adana · R165:7 6:2 4:6
  • 28/09/26WNoma Noha Akugue#126WTA 125 Adana · R326:3 6:1
  • 27/09/26WLois Boisson#258WTA 125 Adana · Q22:6 6:3 7:5
  • 26/09/26WAdelina Lachinova#787WTA 125 Adana · Q14:6 6:3 6:3
  • 22/09/26LCarole Monnet#210WTA 125 Ankara · R321:6 6:7
  • 27/08/26LJulia Grabher#97WTA 125 Philadelphia · QF4:6 3:6
  • 26/08/26WEkaterina Ovcharenko#572WTA 125 Philadelphia · R166:4 6:3
  • 24/08/26WSimona Waltert#110WTA 125 Philadelphia · R327:5 6:3
  • 25/06/26LAlina Korneeva#74WTA Wimbledon · Q32:6 0:6

Oksana Selekhmeteva

  • 06/10/26WLola Radivojevic#260WTA 125 Samsun · R327:5 7:6
  • 26/09/26LJulia Grabher#97WTA 125 Tolentino · SF6:7 1:6
  • 25/09/26WEkaterine Gorgodze#154WTA 125 Tolentino · QF6:1 2:6 6:2
  • 24/09/26WSamira de Stefano#185WTA 125 Tolentino · R165:7 6:1 6:2
  • 21/09/26WFederica Urgesi#264WTA 125 Tolentino · R327:5 0:6 7:5
  • 15/09/26LNastasja Schunk#295WTA 125 Valencia · R325:7 4:6
  • 02/09/26LKamilla Rakhimova#69WTA US Open · R643:6 0:6
  • 31/08/26WAoi Ito#344WTA US Open · R1286:2 6:4
  • 28/08/26LKatie Volynets#88WTA 125 Philadelphia · SF3:6 6:7
  • 26/08/26WCapucine Jauffret#713WTA 125 Philadelphia · R164:6 7:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Fiona CrawleyOksana Selekhmeteva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. CrawleyO. Selekhmeteva
Hard court7–558%20–1263%
Clay0–07–1237%
Grass2–167%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Fiona Crawley

Oksana Selekhmeteva