Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Damas vs Pieri 1:2: result and our tips

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Miguel DamasATP #342Elo 1592clay 1592
1:2final4:6 6:3 2:6
Samuele PieriATP #312Elo 1635clay 1643

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Miguel Damas53%
Samuele Pieri47%

Elo: M. Damas 43% · S. Pieri 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Damas34%
2:1 M. Damas20%
2:1 S. Pieri19%
2:0 S. Pieri28%

First set

Miguel Damas53%
Samuele Pieri47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,481 matches

Games handicap

Miguel Damas −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Miguel DamasSamuele Pieri
0Aces2
2Double faults1
69%First serves in69%
64%First-serve points won56%
48%Second-serve points won74%
3/8Break points converted5/10
9/14Service games held10/13
59%Service points won62%
38%Return points won41%
84Total points won88

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. DamasTourS. Pieri
Service points won56%62%61%
Return points won42%38%39%
Service games held63%76%74%
Breaks of serve32%24%24%
Aces per service game0.140.23
Double faults per game0.290.17
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won11/206/11
Wins in straight sets73%59%
Matches in the sample6244

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Miguel Damas

Samuele Pieri

Elo over the last year

Miguel DamasSamuele Pieri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. DamasS. Pieri
Hard court4–640%0–10%
Clay22–3042%22–2151%

Head to head

They have not met yet.