ATP Brussels250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Damm Jr vs Gadamauri 2:0: result and our tips

·

Martin Damm JrATP #104Elo 1850hard 1808
2:0final6:1 6:4
Buvaysar GadamauriATP #271Elo 1731hard 1694

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost67%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 67%

Gadamauri: 20 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Damm Jr 16 of 20, Gadamauri 20 of 20 (tour average 67%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 34%

Gadamauri: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martin Damm Jr85%
Buvaysar Gadamauri15%

Elo: M. Damm Jr 66% · B. Gadamauri 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Damm Jr64%
2:1 M. Damm Jr20%
2:1 B. Gadamauri7%
2:0 B. Gadamauri8%

First set

Martin Damm Jr77%
Buvaysar Gadamauri23%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.577%23%75%
19.568%32%67%
20.557%43%59%
21.549%51%53%
22.542%58%45%
23.534%66%39%
24.530%70%38%

Sample: 2,100 matches

Games handicap

Martin Damm Jr −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Martin Damm JrBuvaysar Gadamauri
7Aces5
0Double faults3
67%First serves in74%
81%First-serve points won68%
61%Second-serve points won36%
3/4Break points converted0/5
9/9Service games held5/8
74%Service points won60%
41%Return points won26%
57Total points won39

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Damm JrTourB. Gadamauri
Service points won68%62%64%
Return points won33%38%39%
Service games held86%76%80%
Breaks of serve16%24%25%
Aces per service game1.020.35
Double faults per game0.310.24
Sets with a tie-break27%16%
Tie-breaks won25/4416/24
Wins in straight sets77%74%
Matches in the sample6962

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Damm Jr

Buvaysar Gadamauri

Elo over the last year

Martin Damm JrBuvaysar Gadamauri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Damm JrB. Gadamauri
Hard court25–1957%22–1265%
Clay7–654%17–1161%
Grass7–558%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.