ATP Almaty250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Daniel vs Basilashvili 0:2: result and our tips

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Taro DanielATP #179Elo 1807hard 1730
0:2final2:6 5:7
Nikoloz BasilashviliATP #128Elo 1841hard 1820

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Basilashvili: 6 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: BasilashviliWon66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Basilashvili won 3 of 3 head-to-head matches; Basilashvili won 7 of the last 10 matches

  • 1st Set Winner: BasilashviliWon61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Basilashvili won the first set in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Basilashvili: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Taro Daniel36%
Nikoloz Basilashvili64%

Elo: T. Daniel 37% · N. Basilashvili 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Daniel22%
2:1 T. Daniel16%
2:1 N. Basilashvili22%
2:0 N. Basilashvili40%

First set

Taro Daniel40%
Nikoloz Basilashvili60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%68%
20.564%37%60%
21.558%42%54%
22.550%50%46%
23.543%57%39%
24.540%60%38%
25.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,543 matches

Games handicap

Nikoloz Basilashvili −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Taro DanielNikoloz Basilashvili
4Aces7
1Double faults2
55%First serves in64%
70%First-serve points won89%
33%Second-serve points won40%
1/2Break points converted4/6
6/10Service games held9/10
53%Service points won71%
29%Return points won47%
48Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. DanielTourN. Basilashvili
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held79%76%79%
Breaks of serve30%24%21%
Aces per service game0.340.60
Double faults per game0.130.40
Sets with a tie-break14%20%
Tie-breaks won10/1911/26
Wins in straight sets69%65%
Matches in the sample5956

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Taro Daniel

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Elo over the last year

Taro DanielNikoloz Basilashvili

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. DanielN. Basilashvili
Hard court18–1456%12–1544%
Clay21–678%12–1250%
Grass0–02–340%

Head to head

T. Daniel 0–3 N. Basilashvili

  • 11/03/25Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili4:6 1:6
  • 03/11/24Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili5:7 4:6
  • 25/04/17Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili3:6 1:6

See also