Darderi vs Tsitsipas 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 66%
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Darderi 13 of 20, Tsitsipas 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: TsitsipasWon69%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Tsitsipas won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 49%
Darderi: 3 matches in a row with a tie-break
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Darderi 38% · S. Tsitsipas 62%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 4,691 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 22.5out · 19 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Luciano Darderi | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 16 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 55% | First serves in | 67% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 84% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 63% |
| 0/3 | Break points converted | 2/5 |
| 7/9 | Service games held | 10/10 |
| 66% | Service points won | 77% |
| 23% | Return points won | 34% |
| 50 | Total points won | 63 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Darderi | Tour | S. Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 68% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 26% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/28 | 12/32 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 51% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 49 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luciano Darderi
- 02/10/26LKyrian Jacquet#76ATP Tokyo · R163:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WCasper Ruud#24ATP Tokyo · R327:6 6:3
- 08/09/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP US Open · R162:6 2:6 6:7
- 05/09/26WDane Sweeny#112ATP US Open · R326:4 6:3 6:3
- 03/09/26WDalibor Svrcina#126ATP US Open · R646:3 6:7 6:4 6:4
- 31/08/26WHarry Wendelken#182ATP US Open · R1286:2 3:6 6:2 7:5
- 26/08/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP Winston Salem · R161:6 0:6
- 25/08/26WMattia Bellucci#86ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 6:4 6:2
- 15/08/26LRinky Hijikata#85ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 2:6
- 11/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#19ATP Montreal · QF2:6 3:6
Stefanos Tsitsipas
- 08/10/26WKimmer Coppejans#232ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:5
- 02/10/26LValentin Vacherot#14ATP Tokyo · R166:4 6:7 4:6
- 01/10/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#31ATP Tokyo · R324:6 6:3 6:4
- 29/09/26WRinky Hijikata#85ATP Tokyo · Q26:4 6:3
- 28/09/26WYoshihito Nishioka#218ATP Tokyo · Q17:5 6:2
- 06/09/26LBen Shelton#4ATP US Open · R162:6 3:6 4:6
- 04/09/26WJiří Lehečka#16ATP US Open · R322:6 6:1 7:6 6:1
- 02/09/26WLloyd Harris#110ATP US Open · R646:7 6:3 7:6 6:4
- 31/08/26WArthur Fils#11ATP US Open · R1284:6 7:6 6:1 6:4
- 26/08/26LAleksandar Kovacevic#81ATP Winston Salem · R163:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Darderi | S. Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1446% | 17–1357% |
| Clay | 22–1167% | 10–663% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 1–233% |
Head to head
L. Darderi 0–1 S. Tsitsipas
- 16/06/25Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas4:6 6:3 6:7
Road through the tournament
Luciano Darderi
First match in this tournament.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
- 08/10/26WKimmer Coppejans#232ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:5