WTA OsakaWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Dart vs Saigo 2:0: result and our tips

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Harriet DartWTA #117Elo 1672hard 1684
2:0final6:3 6:1
Rina SaigoWTA #306Elo 1417hard 1404

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Saigo: 12 matches in a row under 21.5 games; Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Dart 10 of 20, Saigo 12 of 12 (tour average 56%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 17.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 17.5 games in recent matches: Dart 6 of 20, Saigo 7 of 12 (tour average 28%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Harriet Dart89%
Rina Saigo11%

Elo: H. Dart 83% · R. Saigo 17%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Dart72%
2:1 H. Dart18%
2:1 R. Saigo5%
2:0 R. Saigo6%

First set

Harriet Dart82%
Rina Saigo18%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.581%19%89%
16.570%30%82%
17.560%40%72%
18.549%51%63%
19.542%59%55%
20.534%66%49%
21.531%70%44%

Sample: 916 matches

Games handicap

Harriet Dart −6.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Harriet DartRina Saigo
1Aces0
2Double faults6
69%First serves in49%
74%First-serve points won57%
50%Second-serve points won32%
5/8Break points converted1/2
7/8Service games held3/8
67%Service points won44%
56%Return points won33%
64Total points won42

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. DartTourR. Saigo
Service points won54%56%51%
Return points won47%44%46%
Service games held58%63%52%
Breaks of serve43%37%38%
Aces per service game0.200.11
Double faults per game0.430.24
Sets with a tie-break5%0%
Tie-breaks won1/40/0
Wins in straight sets33%100%
Matches in the sample2911

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Harriet Dart

  • 03/10/26LIva Jovic#12WTA Beijing · R646:2 3:6 3:6
  • 01/10/26WYihan QuWTA Beijing · R1286:2 6:7 7:5
  • 29/09/26WYexin Ma#200WTA Beijing · Q26:3 6:2
  • 28/09/26WTiphanie Lemaitre#463WTA Beijing · Q16:2 6:3
  • 03/09/26LMarie Bouzková#26WTA US Open · R642:6 2:6
  • 31/08/26WPeyton Stearns#37WTA US Open · R1283:6 6:3 6:2
  • 28/08/26WHeather Watson#384WTA US Open · Q32:6 6:4 6:1
  • 26/08/26WKristina Penickova#486WTA US Open · Q25:7 6:0 6:3
  • 25/08/26WJordyn HazelittWTA US Open · Q16:0 6:7 6:1
  • 14/08/26LPeyton Stearns#37WTA Cincinnati · R1281:6 6:7

Rina Saigo

  • 04/10/26LYidi Yang#395WTA 125 Suzhou · Q13:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26LAlexandra Shubladze#136WTA 125 Jingshan · R325:7 3:6
  • 19/09/26LAlevtina Ibragimova#175WTA Seoul · Q13:6 2:6
  • 19/07/26LVeronika Podrez#124WTA Prague · Q24:6 1:6
  • 18/07/26WVictoria BervidWTA Prague · Q16:1 6:2
  • 13/07/26LPriska Madelyn Nugroho#470WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q24:6 2:6
  • 12/07/26WNaoko ETOWTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q16:0 6:0
  • 03/02/26LFangran Tian#249WTA 125 Mumbai · R320:6 3:6
  • 25/01/26LPeangtarn Plipuech#749WTA 125 Manila · Q12:6 3:6
  • 28/10/25LViktorija Golubic#82WTA Jiujiang · R322:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Harriet DartRina Saigo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. DartR. Saigo
Hard court13–862%4–833%
Clay1–150%0–0
Grass1–517%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.