Challenger CaliChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Dedura vs Soriano Barrera 2:0: result and our tips

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Diego DeduraATP #190Elo 1704clay 1739
2:0final7:6(4) 6:3
Adria Soriano BarreraATP #782Elo 1472clay 1425

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Diego Dedura87%
Adria Soriano Barrera13%

Elo: D. Dedura 86% · A. Soriano Barrera 14%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Dedura66%
2:1 D. Dedura20%
2:1 A. Soriano Barrera7%
2:0 A. Soriano Barrera7%

First set

Diego Dedura79%
Adria Soriano Barrera21%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%84%
17.567%34%76%
18.556%44%68%
19.548%52%59%
20.541%60%52%
21.536%64%47%
22.531%69%40%

Sample: 1,644 matches

Games handicap

Diego Dedura −5.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Diego DeduraAdria Soriano Barrera
0Aces5
2Double faults3
67%First serves in56%
73%First-serve points won71%
60%Second-serve points won60%
2/7Break points converted1/3
10/11Service games held8/10
68%Service points won66%
34%Return points won32%
75Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. DeduraTourA. Soriano Barrera
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won41%38%33%
Service games held74%76%78%
Breaks of serve30%24%15%
Aces per service game0.090.55
Double faults per game0.130.28
Sets with a tie-break12%33%
Tie-breaks won11/184/9
Wins in straight sets65%100%
Matches in the sample6512

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Diego Dedura

Adria Soriano Barrera

  • 06/09/26LAntoine EscoffierChallenger Cassis · Q14:6 3:6
  • 01/06/26LRonald Hohmann#931Challenger Tyler · Q22:6 7:6 3:6
  • 24/03/26LCannon Kingsley#547Challenger Bucaramanga · R323:6 7:6 3:6
  • 03/03/26LRobin Bertrand#420Challenger Hersonissos · R320:6 2:6
  • 02/03/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#545Challenger Hersonissos · Q26:3 6:1
  • 01/03/26WHenry Bernet#364Challenger Hersonissos · Q16:1 6:4
  • 27/01/26LAugust Holmgren#258Challenger Oeiras 2 · R326:7 1:6
  • 26/01/26LAndres Andrade#224Challenger Oeiras 2 · Q22:6 6:7
  • 25/01/26WTiago Cacao#626Challenger Oeiras 2 · Q16:3 7:6
  • 18/01/26LOleg Prihodko#442Challenger Oeiras · Q14:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Diego DeduraAdria Soriano Barrera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. DeduraA. Soriano Barrera
Hard court4–833%3–827%
Clay33–1865%0–10%
Grass0–20%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.