Demin vs Binda 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Demin 7 of 8, Binda 16 of 20 (tour average 66%); Demin: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Demin: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games; Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Demin 6 of 8, Binda 15 of 20 (tour average 63%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 43%
Demin: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Demin 17% · A. Binda 83%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,182 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 21.5in · 22 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Yaroslav Demin | Alexander Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 7 |
| 2 | Double faults | 3 |
| 69% | First serves in | 62% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 65% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 2/2 | Break points converted | 1/3 |
| 10/11 | Service games held | 8/10 |
| 69% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 32% |
| 72 | Total points won | 62 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Demin | Tour | A. Binda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.42 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/3 | 5/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 8 | 43 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yaroslav Demin
- 07/10/26LAkira Santillan#309Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#526Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 6:4
- 13/09/26LHanyi Liu#822Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q13:6 3:6
- 02/08/26LSidharth Rawat#671Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q14:6 2:6
- 19/07/26LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#490Challenger Segovia · Q15:7 3:6
- 02/04/26LJonas Forejtek#299Challenger Menorca · R321:6 6:7
- 01/04/26WChristoph Negritu#725Challenger Menorca · Q27:6 7:5
- 30/03/26WMichael Vrbensky#668Challenger Menorca · Q15:7 7:6 7:5
- 07/09/25LMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Biella · Q13:6 1:6
- 27/11/24LPetr Bar Biryukov#327Challenger Yokkaichi · R326:7 6:7
Alexander Binda
- 29/09/26LAdam Walton#97Challenger Jingshan · Q21:6 0:6
- 28/09/26WSidharth Rawat#671Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:3
- 18/09/26LBernard Tomic#180Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF3:6 4:6
- 17/09/26WFajing Sun#296Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 15/09/26WAoran WangChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:4
- 14/09/26WKosuke Ogura#795Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 4:6 6:4
- 13/09/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q17:6 6:3
- 08/09/26LTung-Lin Wu#353Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 2:6
- 07/09/26WMikalai Haliak#898Challenger Shanghai · Q26:3 6:1
- 06/09/26WCheng-Peng HsiehChallenger Shanghai · Q16:1 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Demin | A. Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–420% | 18–1949% |
| Clay | 2–167% | 3–350% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.