Demin vs Santillan 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Demin: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Demin 18% · A. Santillan 82%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,725 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Yaroslav Demin | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 7 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 65% | First serves in | 71% |
| 63% | First-serve points won | 78% |
| 63% | Second-serve points won | 67% |
| 0/2 | Break points converted | 3/5 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/9 |
| 63% | Service points won | 75% |
| 25% | Return points won | 37% |
| 42 | Total points won | 56 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Demin | Tour | A. Santillan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.43 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.44 | 0.34 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/3 | 5/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 7 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yaroslav Demin
- 05/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#503Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 6:4
- 13/09/26LHanyi Liu#831Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q13:6 3:6
- 02/08/26LSidharth Rawat#664Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q14:6 2:6
- 19/07/26LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#457Challenger Segovia · Q15:7 3:6
- 02/04/26LJonas Forejtek#343Challenger Menorca · R321:6 6:7
- 01/04/26WChristoph Negritu#601Challenger Menorca · Q27:6 7:5
- 30/03/26WMichael Vrbensky#754Challenger Menorca · Q15:7 7:6 7:5
- 07/09/25LMassimo Giunta#390Challenger Biella · Q13:6 1:6
- 27/11/24LPetr Bar Biryukov#278Challenger Yokkaichi · R326:7 6:7
- 18/11/24LLi Tu#527Challenger Yokohama · R321:6 0:3
Akira Santillan
- 05/10/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 3:6 7:6
- 29/09/26LLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 4:6
- 23/09/26LAlex Bolt#170ATP Hangzhou · Q21:6 6:2 4:6
- 22/09/26WKaigaoge KangATP Hangzhou · Q16:3 6:0
- 16/09/26LPavel Kotov#187Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R164:6 6:7
- 14/09/26WYaojie ZengChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:5 6:3
- 08/09/26LBernard Tomic#185Challenger Shanghai · R324:6 4:6
- 03/09/26LIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Zhangjiagang · R164:6 6:4 1:6
- 01/09/26WOmar Jasika#422Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:2 6:3
- 05/08/26LAntoine Ghibaudo#403Challenger Istanbul 2 · R164:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Demin | A. Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–325% | 18–1850% |
| Clay | 2–167% | 3–633% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Yaroslav Demin
- 05/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#503Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:4 6:4
Akira Santillan
- 05/10/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 3:6 7:6